Friday's full session digested Warsh cleanly for equities (SPY -0.2%, AAPL +1.6%, AMZN +4.0%) - but not for gold: GLDM fell 3.3% and CLOSED BELOW ITS 200-DAY, flipping its regime component from +40 to -40 and the score from +60 to -30 in a single session. The no-buy-below-200D rule now applies to gold; yesterday's wait-for-the-speech advice spared external adds a painful entry. Crypto delivered three clean verdicts at the UTC close: ETH held its $2,416 floor for the third time ($2,442.7), SOL held its $102 stop ($104.13), and BTC's A1 accumulation bucket remains pending 1.9% below. No overlay adjustments today: Warsh has passed, the next binaries (jobs Friday Sep 4, FOMC Sep 16) sit outside the 2-day window. Monday Aug 31 is a normal session; today's orders execute in Sunday-night's overnight session (Monday HK daytime).
Quant +65 (+1.6% Friday to $319.70, MACD +15, mild stretch penalty). Cap math again: 6 shares = ~$1,918, 19.0% of fund, ~$100 of room - under the $250 minimum. No add. The position has carried the signal faithfully all week. — At the 20% cap.
SPY
$769.35 · as of 2026-08-28 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100+60
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$769.35
vs 200-day avg+8.8%
vs 50-day avg+2.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 60
MACD-0.96 rising
Return 1m+5.5%
Return 3m+2.0%
Return 12m+19.9%
From 52-week high-1.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%
Quant +60 with the keynote behind it and no event inside the window - the deferral is over on the system's own terms. STRONG BUY = 10% tranche (~$1,010); 1 whole share ($769, ~76% of the tranche) fits the overnight session. This is the fund's first index add since the QQQ pullback buy and takes deployed to ~78%. — Queue promise resolved: quant STRONG BUY, event window clear.
HYPE watch only
$80.30 · as of 2026-08-29 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100+60
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$80.30
vs 200-day avg+57.8%
vs 50-day avg+28.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 368 / 44
MACD+1.34 falling
Return 1m+43.9%
Return 3m+17.6%
Return 12m+80.9%
From 52-week high-5.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.6%
Watch-only. $80.30, -5.2% off the ATH - a normal breather at +58% above the 200D. Trail unchanged: halve ~$71.5, hard exit $61.4. Nothing to do on either side. — Routine ATH pullback; trail governs.
QQQ
$716.43 · as of 2026-08-28 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100+50
regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$716.43
vs 200-day avg+9.5%
vs 50-day avg+0.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 54
MACD-0.49 rising
Return 1m+8.3%
Return 3m-2.9%
Return 12m+24.7%
From 52-week high-3.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.5%
Quant +50. Position 3 shares (~21%). Today's index allocation goes to SPY (broader, stronger score); doubling index exposure in one day double-counts the same bet. Queue: next week if still qualified. — Qualified; SPY takes the index slot today.
Quant +50 but RSI3 at 96 - the verticality still has not reset (position +4.2% since entry). Pyramiding into a 96 RSI3 is how good entries become bad averages; wait for the reset. — Stretch unresolved; no pyramiding.
GOOGL
$346.59 · as of 2026-08-28 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100+50
regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$346.59
vs 200-day avg+3.7%
vs 50-day avg-0.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 65
MACD-0.08 rising
Return 1m+2.9%
Return 3m-8.8%
Return 12m+64.2%
From 52-week high-13.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%
Quant recovered to +50 (MACD healing). Alphabet stake: 3 GOOG, ~10.3% of fund, avg $343.76 - now green. Accumulated three times in five sessions recently; the position is built. Queue behind fresher setups. — Position built; let it work.
AMZN
$266.43 · as of 2026-08-28 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100+50
regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$266.43
vs 200-day avg+11.6%
vs 50-day avg+5.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 72
MACD-1.11 rising
Return 1m+17.6%
Return 3m-1.6%
Return 12m+15.0%
From 52-week high-6.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.6%
Quant +50 after Friday's +4.0% pop to $266.43 - the week's softest tape closed as its strongest day (position +2.3%). Chasing a +4% day contradicts the entry style; if +50 holds after the pop digests, it queues normally. — Bought the quiet, not chasing the pop.
The digestion the plan asked for arrived: -4.4% off the post-earnings high to $217.55, RSI3 reset from 80 to 50 - and the price is now BELOW the $218 the halved order would have paid on Thursday. Waiting cost nothing and bought a calmer tape. BUY at the 5% tranche: 2 shares (~$435). Position after: 6 shares, ~13% of fund, well under the cap. — Post-earnings digestion complete; entry below the previously skipped price.
SOL watch only
$104.06 · as of 2026-08-29 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100+30
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$104.06
vs 200-day avg+27.4%
vs 50-day avg+29.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 374 / 60
MACD+2.05 falling
Return 1m+39.8%
Return 3m+26.0%
Return 12m-49.3%
From 52-week high-58.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.7%
Watch-only - STOP HELD. Friday's UTC close at $104.13 kept the position above the $102 ratchet through the Warsh dip; the trailing structure survives with $117.1 overhead and $105.35/$99.9 as the near supports. The whipsaw-scarred rule did its job quietly this time. — Close-basis stop survived the macro dip; trail continues.
ETH watch only
$2,443.36 · as of 2026-08-29 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100+30
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$2,443.36
vs 200-day avg+20.9%
vs 50-day avg+21.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 370 / 42
MACD+21.23 falling
Return 1m+27.5%
Return 3m+21.0%
Return 12m-44.0%
From 52-week high-48.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%
Watch-only - FLOOR HELD, THIRD TEST. Traded within $3 of $2,416 on the Warsh dip and closed $2,442.72 - the floor has now repelled three attacks without a single close-through. Thesis fully intact: floor $2,416, target/trim $2,619 (+7.2%). A floor tested three times and held is stronger evidence than the day it was drawn. — Three tests, zero closes through; structure strengthening.
BTC watch only
$77,769.87 · as of 2026-08-29 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100+30
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$77,769.87
vs 200-day avg+12.2%
vs 50-day avg+16.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 370 / 42
MACD+711.85 falling
Return 1m+20.2%
Return 3m+5.4%
Return 12m-28.2%
From 52-week high-37.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.0%
Watch-only + LADDER STATUS. The Warsh dip bottomed at ~$77.2k and closed $77.8k - A1 ($10k at a held $76.3k daily close) stayed PENDING at -1.9%, untouched and unfilled; the swing re-buy waits on the same line. Every rung intact: A2 breakout-insurance above $82.2k (+5.7%), B1 $62-65k, B2 $58.5k, reserve $48-52k, DCA backstop Dec 31. KPI unchanged: 0.85 BTC. The no-FOMO clause passed its first live test - a -3.5% macro dip generated zero discretionary action, exactly as designed. — Nearest bucket pending 1.9% below; discipline held through the first macro test.
TSLA
$348.75 · as of 2026-08-28 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100-30
regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$348.75
vs 200-day avg-13.0%
vs 50-day avg-3.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 46
MACD+3.59 falling
Return 1m+16.9%
Return 3m-20.0%
Return 12m+0.8%
From 52-week high-28.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.7%
Unchanged: -30, 13.0% below the 200-day. External holders keep using bounces as exits; no fund position. — Below the 200D; trim strength.
GLDM watch only
$88.20 · as of 2026-08-28 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100-30
regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$88.20
vs 200-day avg-1.3%
vs 50-day avg+5.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 20
MACD+0.15 falling
Return 1m+10.2%
Return 3m-1.9%
Return 12m+30.2%
From 52-week high-17.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%
Watch-only - REGIME FLIP, the day's biggest signal change. Friday's -3.3% hawkish-repricing slide closed GLDM below its 200-day for the first time in the fund's records: score collapsed +60 -> -30, and the no-buy-below-200D rule now BLOCKS the adds the +60 kept suggesting. For external gold: no new buys, full stop; holders treat bounces toward the 200D (~$89.4, +1.4%) as trim opportunities. If the close reclaims the 200D, the signal resets on its own - gold gets no special pleading, same rules as everything else. — Closed below the 200D on the hawkish repricing; buys blocked by the hard rule.
Unchanged -45; Friday's +1.2% extends the bounce toward the 200D ($622) - which is the trim level, not the reversal proof. External: keep reducing into it. — Bounce toward the 200D = exit liquidity.
Portfolio
What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.