Invest Tools · Daily Brief

Invest Daily Brief

Fund value$9,981-0.2% since 2026-08-20
Cash$1,881ready to deploy
Positions$8,10081% deployed
Unrealized P&L$-19open positions

Macro overlay

決戰週前夜:八月 CPI 週五(9/11)出爐——FOMC(9/15-16)前最後一份通脹數據,鷹派 Warsh 加上分裂嘅七月投票令 25 點子加息同按兵不動打成均勢,CPI 熱=加息坐實,凍=觀望派歸位。CPI 已入兩日事件窗,股票/ETF 買入一律 −15;賣出訊號不受事件窗影響——而今日正有一個:GOOGL 已收穿 200 日線(−1.6%),量化 −45 觸發 TRIM,基金按規則減持 Alphabet。另一邊 META 完成一週內由 −45 到 +35 嘅 regime 反轉(收復 200 日線 +5.1%),但 RSI3 95 嘅追價位唔係入場位。Crypto:ETH 收復 $2,416 觸發線(三日收市全部企上),BTC 喺 $78.3k 橫行等收復 $78.6k 完成第二級企穩,MSTR 反彈至離自身 200 日線僅 4.2%——觸發警戒中。

Events: 八月 CPI 週五 9/11(FOMC 前最後一份) · FOMC 9/15-16(加息 25bp vs 不動,均勢) · BTC 週日 UTC 週收(第三級企穩指標)

Today's orders

1 sell order(s) ≈ $331 — candidates, not obligations.

SideTickerQuantityEst. costNote
SELL GOOGL 賣 1 股 GOOG(持倉 33%) $331 整股——任何時段;賣出訊號唔等 CPI

Scoreboard

TickerPrice1m12m vs 200DScoreAction
Fund universe — US stocks
NVDA $223.67 +2.8% +31.2% +13.6% +45 BUY
AAPL $315.34 +2.3% +35.1% +11.1% +45 BUY
SPY $762.40 -1.4% +18.5% +7.2% +30 BUY
QQQ $716.31 -0.6% +24.0% +8.9% +30 BUY
AMZN $252.40 -9.2% +5.9% +5.4% +30 BUY
META $653.69 +9.9% -14.4% +5.1% +20 HOLD
MSFT $491.65 -2.7% -0.5% +14.5% +0 HOLD
TSLA $367.81 +11.2% +6.0% -7.9% -30 TRIM
GOOGL $330.65 -7.5% +38.3% -1.6% -45 TRIM
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE $84.03 +54.4% +51.6% +55.2% +45 BUY
SOL $101.76 +33.5% -54.6% +22.9% +15 HOLD
ETH $2,475.35 +31.6% -43.1% +20.8% +15 HOLD
BTC $78,297.55 +23.2% -31.3% +11.9% +15 HOLD
GLDM $87.03 +0.3% +21.1% -2.8% -20 HOLD
MSTR $132.70 +36.3% -59.6% -4.2% -50 TRIM

Ticker analysis

NVDA

$223.67 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -15

1502002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$223.67
vs 200-day avg+13.6%
vs 50-day avg+5.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 41
MACD+0.42 falling
Return 1m+2.8%
Return 3m+11.6%
Return 12m+31.2%
From 52-week high-5.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.2%

量化 +60(MACD 轉正、動量 +20),扣 CPI 事件 −15 後 +45。持倉 7 股(15.6%,平均 $221.85)+0.8%。事件週唔加注;CPI+FOMC 過後如果訊號仲在,先考慮向 20% 上限進發。 — 訊號健康;事件週唔加注。

AAPL

$315.34 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -15

2503002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$315.34
vs 200-day avg+11.1%
vs 50-day avg-0.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 26
MACD+0.42 falling
Return 1m+2.3%
Return 3m+8.2%
Return 12m+35.1%
From 52-week high-7.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化 +60,扣後 +45。持倉 6 股 19.0%——繼續俾上限鎖住。RSI3 26 顯示回緊氣,但上限唔理呢啲。 — 接近兩成上限;無得加。

HYPE watch only

$84.03 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

20.0040.0060.0080.002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$84.03
vs 200-day avg+55.2%
vs 50-day avg+23.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 40
MACD-0.78 falling
Return 1m+54.4%
Return 3m+42.6%
Return 12m+51.6%
From 52-week high-4.5%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.1%

觀察名單。$84.03 貼近高位,量化 +45(MACD 輕負)。Trail 照舊:約 $72 減半、$61.4 硬離場。你未有貨:回調區(~$72 / 50 日線 ~$66)先係 starter 位,呢度唔係。 — Trail 值班;新倉等回調。

SPY

$762.40 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$762.40
vs 200-day avg+7.2%
vs 50-day avg+0.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 348 / 27
MACD-1.16 falling
Return 1m-1.4%
Return 3m+5.4%
Return 12m+18.5%
From 52-week high-2.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

量化 +45 扣後 +30。CPI+FOMC 連環週,指數入場繼續等——呢排每次事後覆盤,事件前忍手都係啱嘅嗰邊。FOMC 之後大重評。 — 雙事件週;9/17 後重評。

QQQ

$716.31 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$716.31
vs 200-day avg+8.9%
vs 50-day avg+0.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 49
MACD-0.09 falling
Return 1m-0.6%
Return 3m+3.4%
Return 12m+24.0%
From 52-week high-3.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.2%

量化 +45 扣後 +30。持倉 3 股(21.5%)照坐,唔加。 — 同 SPY;事件週觀望。

AMZN

$252.40 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

2002252502752025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$252.40
vs 200-day avg+5.4%
vs 50-day avg-0.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 20
MACD-1.33 falling
Return 1m-9.2%
Return 3m+6.1%
Return 12m+5.9%
From 52-week high-11.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.6%

量化 +45 扣後 +30。持倉 4 股(平均 $259.72,−2.8%)——上週其他 session 加咗注。RSI3 20 偏弱,結構(200 日線上 +5.4%)未破。事件週唔郁。 — 持倉觀望;結構未破。

META

$653.69 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -10 · MACD +15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$653.69
vs 200-day avg+5.1%
vs 50-day avg+9.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 370 / 95
MACD+9.51 rising
Return 1m+9.9%
Return 3m+14.6%
Return 12m-14.4%
From 52-week high-16.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.3%

一週完成 regime 反轉:由 200 日線下 −4.6% 到上 +5.1%,量化 −45 → +35。但 RSI3 95、拋物線式收復——追新鮮反轉加埋 CPI 前夜,係最貴嘅入場組合。俾佢時間:回踩 200 日線($622 一帶)企穩,或者 FOMC 後訊號仲在,先係入場討論。無基金持倉。 — Regime 反轉確認但升到極端;等回踩或事件後。

SOL watch only

$101.76 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

1001502026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$101.76
vs 200-day avg+22.9%
vs 50-day avg+17.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 359 / 34
MACD-0.97 falling
Return 1m+33.5%
Return 3m+52.2%
Return 12m-54.6%
From 52-week high-58.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.4%

觀察名單。$101.76,又嚟到 $102 重返線門口——連續三日收市 101.5–103.3 徘徊(9/8 收 103.33 其實已過線一次!)。嚴格講 9/8 嗰日重返條件已touch過,但翌日又跌返落嚟——呢種反覆正係之前兩次止蝕嘅環境。保守處理:連續兩日收上 $102 先算有效重返,單日穿越唔算。$89.5 下門檻不變。 — 重返線反覆拉鋸;要連續性先算數。

ETH watch only

$2,475.35 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2,0003,0002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$2,475.35
vs 200-day avg+20.8%
vs 50-day avg+15.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 362 / 47
MACD-18.69 falling
Return 1m+31.6%
Return 3m+48.0%
Return 12m-43.1%
From 52-week high-47.5%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.5%

觀察名單——觸發線已亮。三日收市($2,485/$2,468/$2,475)全部企返 $2,416 之上,9/8 仲一度收過 $2,470 舊確認線:ETH 版第一級企穩成立,之前寫低嘅「收復 $2,416 先開 ETH 討論」條件已滿足。下一步睇你:如果想按 20% 目標分佈加 ETH,入場區係 $2,416–2,470 帶嘅回踩企穩,唔係現價追;止損邏輯照舊收市穿 $2,416 離場。 — 收復觸發線;討論之門已開,入場等回踩。

BTC watch only

$78,297.55 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60,00080,000100,0002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$78,297.55
vs 200-day avg+11.9%
vs 50-day avg+11.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 29
MACD-566.36 falling
Return 1m+23.2%
Return 3m+23.2%
Return 12m-31.3%
From 52-week high-37.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%

觀察名單。$78.3k 橫行第三日,收市 78.3–78.5k 貼住 $78.6k 舊 shelf 門口——第二級企穩(收復 78.6k)一步之遙但未完成;週日 UTC 週收企穩 $76.3k 之上就係第三級。棋盤現況:上方沽單 0.05 @ $82.8k(空頭爆倉磁石下)、下方買單 $77.3k/$76.6k、殺掣 $76,255 收市——三個方向全部預案就緒,中間繼續係無人區。CPI/FOMC 係本週最可能製造雙向插針嘅催化劑,正正係棋盤設計服務嘅場景。 — 第二級企穩差一步;棋盤三向就緒等事件。

MSFT

$491.65 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +0

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

4005002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$491.65
vs 200-day avg+14.5%
vs 50-day avg+9.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 28
MACD-3.67 falling
Return 1m-2.7%
Return 3m+24.0%
Return 12m-0.5%
From 52-week high-8.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%

量化 +15 未修復(12 個月動量仍負)。持倉 1 股 −0.4%。繼續等佢自己證明。 — 訊號未修復。

GLDM watch only

$87.03 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 -20

regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

60801002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$87.03
vs 200-day avg-2.8%
vs 50-day avg+3.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 46
MACD-0.56 rising
Return 1m+0.3%
Return 3m+7.8%
Return 12m+21.1%
From 52-week high-18.5%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%

觀察名單(金)。修復中:−45 → −20,但仍喺 200 日線下 2.8%——禁買鐵律未解除。收市重上 $89.5 一帶先重置訊號;CPI/FOMC 對金係雙向炸彈。 — 修復中但未過線;繼續等。

TSLA

$367.81 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -30

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

3004005002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$367.81
vs 200-day avg-7.9%
vs 50-day avg+3.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 58
MACD+2.77 falling
Return 1m+11.2%
Return 3m-3.6%
Return 12m+6.0%
From 52-week high-24.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.0%

維持 −30,200 日線下 7.9%(差距收窄中)。外部持倉:反彈減倉劇本不變;收復 $400 一帶先改觀。 — 線下反彈;規則不變。

GOOGL

$330.65 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -45

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2003004002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$330.65
vs 200-day avg-1.6%
vs 50-day avg-5.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 340 / 18
MACD-0.73 falling
Return 1m-7.5%
Return 3m-7.2%
Return 12m+38.3%
From 52-week high-17.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%

上週一直盯嘅嗰條線終於穿咗:收市跌穿 200 日線(而家 −1.6%),regime 組件反轉,量化 −45 = TRIM 級。規則要求減持 25%:持倉 3 股 GOOG,賣 1 股(約 $331,整股 overnight 可執行)。呢個唔係睇淡 Alphabet 長線——12 個月仍 +38%——係規則講:結構破損時先減後問。日收重上 200 日線($336)訊號自動重置。賣出唔受事件窗影響。 — 200 日線收市跌穿;TRIM 規則執行,非情緒決定。

MSTR watch only

$132.70 · as of 2026-09-09 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -50

regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

1002003004002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$132.70
vs 200-day avg-4.2%
vs 50-day avg+25.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 359 / 41
MACD+1.41 falling
Return 1m+36.3%
Return 3m+15.0%
Return 12m-59.6%
From 52-week high-63.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+6.5%

觀察名單——⚠️ 觸發警戒。反彈至 $132.7,離自身 200 日線($138.5)只差 4.2%,量化由 −60 修復到 −50。之前寫死嘅雙條件:日收企穩 200 日線 + mNAV < 1.2 先開入場討論——第一個條件進入射程,如果佢真係收上去,我會即時查 mNAV 一齊報。而家仍係線下,禁買照舊。 — 距 200 日線觸發 4.2%;警戒中,未到未郁。

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

TickerSharesAvg costPrice ValueUnrealized P&LToday's action
AAPL 6 $311.02 $315.34 $1,892.04 $25.90 (+1.4%) BUY
AMZN 4 $259.71 $252.40 $1,009.60 $-29.26 (-2.8%) BUY
GOOG 3 $343.76 $330.65 $991.95 $-39.33 (-3.8%) TRIM
MSFT 1 $493.69 $491.65 $491.65 $-2.04 (-0.4%) HOLD
NVDA 7 $221.85 $223.67 $1,565.69 $12.76 (+0.8%) BUY
QQQ 3 $712.03 $716.31 $2,148.93 $12.83 (+0.6%) BUY

Trade log

DateTickerSideQtyPrice AmountFeeRealized P&LNote
2026-08-20QQQ BUY1.0 $712.80$712.80 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21NVDA BUY4.0 $217.64$870.56 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21QQQ BUY1.0 $712.85$712.85 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22AAPL BUY3.0 $310.81$932.43 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24AAPL BUY3.0 $310.57$931.71 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24GOOG BUY1.0 $341.14$341.14 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25GOOG BUY1.0 $344.81$344.81 $1.00 —GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25QQQ BUY1.0 $707.45$707.45 $1.00 —score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26GOOG BUY1.0 $342.33$342.33 $1.00 —GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26AMZN BUY2.0 $259.93$519.86 $1.00 —score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27MSFT BUY1.0 $492.69$492.69 $1.00 —score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31NVDA BUY1.0 $218.43$218.43 $1.00 —score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08AMZN BUY2.0 $258.50$517.00 $1.00 —score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08NVDA BUY2.0 $230.47$460.94 $1.00 —score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23 · 2026-09-21 · 2026-09-19 · 2026-09-18 · 2026-09-17 · 2026-09-16 · 2026-09-15 · 2026-09-14 · 2026-09-12 · 2026-09-11 · 2026-09-10