Invest Daily Brief

Fund value$10,189+1.9% since 2026-08-20

Cash$276ready to deploy

Positions$9,91397% deployed

Unrealized P&L$189open positions

Macro overlay

週五三重結算平靜收場:標普持平、納指 +0.6%,加息後兩日大市已收復 FOMC 跌幅。下週冇一級數據(週三 PMI、週一 Goolsbee 講話),覆蓋調整 0。今日焦點:MSTR 一日 +16% 收 $153.92,200 日線上 12%、mNAV 1.04×,你嘅雙條件觸發正式達成;基金現金只剩 $276,五隻 STRONG BUY 都加唔到。加密:BTC 9 月 18 日收 $80,875 確認假跌破、日高 $81,380 應已掃到 $81,200 沽單;ETH 日高 $2,646 越過 $2,619 沽單,swing 一轉應已完成;SOL 收 $112.63 重返第一日;TAO 收復 200 日線,重入條件達成;HYPE 歷史新高。

Events: MSTR 雙條件達成(200 日線 + mNAV 1.04×) · BTC 假跌破確認;$81,200 沽單應已成交 · ETH $2,619 沽單應已成交 · SOL 重返第一日;TAO 重入條件達成 · 下週:週三 PMI,冇一級數據

Today's orders

1 buy order(s) ≈ $254 — candidates, not obligations.

Side	Ticker	Quantity	Est. cost	Note
BUY	AMZN	1 股 AMZN(可選)	$254	整股,週末後夜盤可成交;落咗基金 100% 投入;回調注已於 9-17 做,呢注只係用盡現金

Scoreboard

Ticker	Price	1m	12m	vs 200D	Score	Action
Fund universe — US stocks
QQQ	$721.45	+0.7%	+21.8%	+9.0%	+65	STRONG BUY
GOOGL	$349.54	+1.5%	+39.1%	+3.7%	+65	STRONG BUY
SPY	$761.69	-0.7%	+16.6%	+6.9%	+60	STRONG BUY
AAPL	$336.13	+6.1%	+41.8%	+17.5%	+60	STRONG BUY
AMZN	$253.71	-4.6%	+9.7%	+5.6%	+60	STRONG BUY
NVDA	$222.27	+2.3%	+26.4%	+12.2%	+60	STRONG BUY
MSFT	$493.78	+2.1%	-2.1%	+14.8%	+30	HOLD
META	$665.75	+21.9%	-14.4%	+6.8%	+30	HOLD
TSLA	$364.27	+3.7%	-12.6%	-8.3%	-60	EXIT
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE	$92.57	+25.7%	+64.9%	+63.8%	+65	STRONG BUY
ONDO	$0.40	+11.7%	-61.2%	+20.3%	+45	BUY
SOL	$112.98	+28.9%	-52.7%	+35.0%	+35	BUY
MSTR	$153.92	+47.6%	-55.9%	+12.3%	+35	BUY
BTC	$81,065.76	+11.0%	-29.9%	+15.0%	+30	HOLD
TAO	$249.17	+16.0%	-28.0%	+3.5%	+30	HOLD
ETH	$2,606.03	+12.0%	-41.7%	+25.7%	+20	HOLD
GLDM	$86.59	-3.0%	+19.9%	-3.5%	-20	HOLD

Ticker analysis

QQQ

$721.45 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +65

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15

Close$721.45

vs 200-day avg+9.0%

vs 50-day avg+1.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 80

MACD+0.07 rising

Return 1m+0.7%

Return 3m-2.5%

Return 12m+21.8%

From 52-week high-3.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%

+65(MACD 柱 +0.07 轉正,組件 +15)。$721.45(+0.6%),50 日線之上、200 日線上 9%,RSI3 80。基金持 3 股(21%,平均 $712)。現金唔夠 1 股,持有。 — MACD 轉正;現金唔夠

GOOGL

$349.54 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +65

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15

Close$349.54

vs 200-day avg+3.7%

vs 50-day avg+1.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 74

MACD+1.55 rising

Return 1m+1.5%

Return 3m-5.0%

Return 12m+39.1%

From 52-week high-13.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

+65 不變,全場並列最高。$349.54(+0.6%),200 日線上 3.7%,MACD 柱 +1.55 連續五日擴大。9 月 17 日夜盤買咗 1 股 GOOG @ $343.36,Alphabet 合共 4 股(約 13.8%),已賺 1.8%。現金 $276 唔夠再買 1 股($350),持有。 — 訊號持續;現金唔夠

HYPE watch only

$92.57 · as of 2026-09-19 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +65

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback -10 · MACD +15

Close$92.57

vs 200-day avg+63.8%

vs 50-day avg+27.9%

RSI 14 / RSI 367 / 89

MACD+0.33 rising

Return 1m+25.7%

Return 3m+30.9%

Return 12m+64.9%

From 52-week high+0.0%

Volatility (ATR14)+5.1%

觀察名單。量化 +65(MACD 轉正 +15、超買 −10)。$92.57 = 歷史新高,200 日線上 64%。訊號最強,但入場區 $72 已經遠離 28%——no-FOMO:唔追。ATH 之後嘅合規入場係回踩 $82–85(舊高位)企穩。未持有。 — ATH;唔追,等回踩舊高位

SPY

$761.69 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$761.69

vs 200-day avg+6.9%

vs 50-day avg+0.5%

RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 65

MACD-1.05 rising

Return 1m-0.7%

Return 3m+2.3%

Return 12m+16.6%

From 52-week high-1.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+0.9%

+60。$761.69,200 日線上 6.9%,50 日線之上。三重結算日平收。基金持 1 股(平均 $761.52)。現金唔夠,持有。 — 現金唔夠

AAPL

$336.13 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$336.13

vs 200-day avg+17.5%

vs 50-day avg+5.0%

RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 75

MACD+1.59 falling

Return 1m+6.1%

Return 3m+12.9%

Return 12m+41.8%

From 52-week high-1.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.2%

+60。$336.13(−0.3%),距 52 週高 1.1%。基金持 6 股 = 約 $2,017,佔 19.9%——頂住 20% 上限,唔可以加。持有。 — 頂住上限

AMZN

$253.71 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$253.71

vs 200-day avg+5.6%

vs 50-day avg-0.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 348 / 64

MACD-0.86 rising

Return 1m-4.6%

Return 3m+3.8%

Return 12m+9.7%

From 52-week high-10.7%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

+60。$253.71(+1.0%),200 日線上 5.6%,MACD 柱 −0.86 收窄中。持 6 股平均 $256.39(約 15%),9 月 17 日回調注已做。現金 $276 剛好夠 1 股 $254,係基金唯一落得嘅整股——仍然列為可選:落咗 100% 投入、現金剩 $22。 — 唯一現金容納到嘅整股;可選

NVDA

$222.27 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

STRONG BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$222.27

vs 200-day avg+12.2%

vs 50-day avg+3.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 78

MACD-0.70 rising

Return 1m+2.3%

Return 3m+5.6%

Return 12m+26.4%

From 52-week high-5.5%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.9%

+60。$222.27(+1.3%),200 日線上 12%,重返 50 日線之上,RSI3 78。基金持 7 股(15.4%,平均 $221.85,+0.2%)。1 股 $222 低過 $250 最低單,現金亦唔夠,唔加。 — 現金唔夠、單太細

ONDO watch only

$0.40 · as of 2026-09-19 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15

Close$0.40

vs 200-day avg+20.3%

vs 50-day avg+11.1%

RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 82

MACD+0.00 rising

Return 1m+11.7%

Return 3m+15.7%

Return 12m-61.2%

From 52-week high-61.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+5.8%

觀察名單。9 月 18 日 UTC 收 $0.3986,200 日線上 20%,量化 +45(MACD +15)。距 9 月 15 日止蝕價已反彈 21%;持倉狀態仍未確認。如果仲揸住:止蝕線 $0.33 上移到 $0.36(50 日線)。如果已沽:唔追,等回踩 $0.36–0.37。 — 反彈 21%;止蝕上移或等回踩

SOL watch only

$112.98 · as of 2026-09-19 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -10 · MACD +15

Close$112.98

vs 200-day avg+35.0%

vs 50-day avg+23.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 366 / 87

MACD+0.23 rising

Return 1m+28.9%

Return 3m+54.5%

Return 12m-52.7%

From 52-week high-52.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+4.4%

觀察名單。9 月 18 日 UTC 收 $112.63:重返線 $102 之上第一日,亦收過 9 月 7 日高位 $109.13——今晚收 > $102 就係第二日、重返條件成立。但條件會喺高過條線 10% 嘅位置觸發,RSI3 87,超買組件 −10。建議:觸發時半注,另一半等回試 $105–109。止蝕返 $102 收市計。 — 重返計數第一日;觸發時半注

MSTR watch only

$153.92 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -10 · MACD +15

Close$153.92

vs 200-day avg+12.3%

vs 50-day avg+38.9%

RSI 14 / RSI 366 / 86

MACD+0.21 rising

Return 1m+47.6%

Return 3m+36.8%

Return 12m-55.9%

From 52-week high-57.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+6.1%

觀察名單——⚠️ 雙條件達成。9 月 18 日收 $153.92(+16.4%),200 日線($137.04)上 12.3%,mNAV 1.04×(< 1.2 門檻)。原因:AI 產品擴張 + Google Cloud 論壇、三家大行上調目標價($160–217)、回購優先股減輕股息憂慮、BTC 反彈。量化 +35 BUY,但超買組件 −10(RSI3 86):一日升 16% 之後入係追。建議兩截:一半而家(衛星倉上限係外部組合 5%,計入 BTC 風險預算),另一半等回試 200 日線 $137–142 企穩。收市跌返 200 日線下 = 觸發作廢。 — 200 日線 + mNAV 雙條件達成;一日 +16% 分兩截入

MSFT

$493.78 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$493.78

vs 200-day avg+14.8%

vs 50-day avg+6.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 353 / 43

MACD-3.19 rising

Return 1m+2.1%

Return 3m+30.4%

Return 12m-2.1%

From 52-week high-8.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.1%

+30 HOLD。$493.78(−0.8%),200 日線上 14.8%,12 個月 −2.1%。基金持 1 股(平均 $493.69)。持有。 — 動能仍負;持有

BTC watch only

$81,065.76 · as of 2026-09-19 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$81,065.76

vs 200-day avg+15.0%

vs 50-day avg+11.3%

RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 86

MACD-179.70 rising

Return 1m+11.0%

Return 3m+26.2%

Return 12m-29.9%

From 52-week high-35.0%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.8%

觀察名單。9 月 18 日 UTC 收 $80,875,高過箱底 $77,066——9 月 15 日嘅跌破正式確認係假跌破,區間規則復用。日高 $81,380 已掃過 $81,200 沽單(請確認成交),$81,950 未到。收市仍低過箱頂 $81,264、區間頂 $82,191,突破未確認。劇本不變:UTC 收 ≥ $82,191 取消未成交沽單、入前半;假突破(盤中破頂但收 < $81,264)就分三級接返 $78,600 / $77,300 / $76,600。 — 假跌破確認;箱頂試攻中

TAO watch only

$249.17 · as of 2026-09-19 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$249.17

vs 200-day avg+3.5%

vs 50-day avg+12.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 358 / 79

MACD-0.49 rising

Return 1m+16.0%

Return 3m+7.7%

Return 12m-28.0%

From 52-week high-49.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+6.1%

觀察名單——重入條件達成。9 月 18 日 UTC 收 $250.28,200 日線($240.64)上 4%。按規則今日可重入,注碼係原本一半($1,000),止蝕照舊:UTC 收穿 200 日線全走。RSI3 79,唔好追高位,掛 $242–246 回試位或市價半注。 — 收復 200 日線;半注重入

ETH watch only

$2,606.03 · as of 2026-09-19 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback -10 · MACD +0

Close$2,606.03

vs 200-day avg+25.7%

vs 50-day avg+15.5%

RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 80

MACD-6.09 rising

Return 1m+12.0%

Return 3m+49.9%

Return 12m-41.7%

From 52-week high-44.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%

觀察名單。量化 +20(超買組件 −10)。9 月 18 日 UTC 收 $2,611,日高 $2,646 已越過 $2,619 沽單——swing 倉 0.8 ETH 應已沽出(請確認),一轉 $2,450 → $2,619 = +6.9%。核心倉持有;swing 倉空倉,接返位等回踩 $2,450–2,470 或 50 日線 $2,257。 — 沽單應已成交;swing 空倉等回踩

GLDM watch only

$86.59 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 -20

regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$86.59

vs 200-day avg-3.5%

vs 50-day avg+2.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 72

MACD-0.39 rising

Return 1m-3.0%

Return 3m+3.8%

Return 12m+19.9%

From 52-week high-18.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%

觀察名單。量化 −20。$86.59(+0.7%),200 日線($89.69)下 3.5%,連升三日但仍喺線下,禁買不變。外部黃金:持有唔加;收返 $89.7 之上先重估。 — 200 日線下 3.5%;唔加

TSLA

$364.27 · as of 2026-09-18 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -60

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$364.27

vs 200-day avg-8.3%

vs 50-day avg+4.0%

RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 59

MACD+0.17 falling

Return 1m+3.7%

Return 3m-9.0%

Return 12m-12.6%

From 52-week high-25.6%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.6%

−60 EXIT(MACD 組件歸零,由 −45 回落)。$364.27,200 日線($397.33)下 8.3%。線下禁買。無基金持倉;外部持倉:離場訊號,反彈出貨。 — 200 日線下;離場

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

Ticker	Shares	Avg cost	Price	Value	Unrealized P&L	Today's action
AAPL	6	$311.02	$336.13	$2,016.78	$150.64 (+8.1%)	STRONG BUY
AMZN	6	$256.39	$253.71	$1,522.26	$-16.06 (-1.0%)	STRONG BUY
GOOG	4	$343.91	$349.54	$1,398.16	$22.52 (+1.6%)	STRONG BUY
MSFT	1	$493.69	$493.78	$493.78	$0.09 (+0.0%)	HOLD
NVDA	7	$221.85	$222.27	$1,555.89	$2.96 (+0.2%)	STRONG BUY
QQQ	3	$712.03	$721.45	$2,164.35	$28.25 (+1.3%)	STRONG BUY
SPY	1	$761.52	$761.69	$761.69	$0.17 (+0.0%)	STRONG BUY

Trade log

Date	Ticker	Side	Qty	Price	Amount	Fee	Realized P&L	Note
2026-08-20	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.80	$712.80	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21	NVDA	BUY	4.0	$217.64	$870.56	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.85	$712.85	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.81	$932.43	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.57	$931.71	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$341.14	$341.14	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$344.81	$344.81	$1.00	—	GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$707.45	$707.45	$1.00	—	score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$342.33	$342.33	$1.00	—	GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$259.93	$519.86	$1.00	—	score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27	MSFT	BUY	1.0	$492.69	$492.69	$1.00	—	score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31	NVDA	BUY	1.0	$218.43	$218.43	$1.00	—	score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$258.50	$517.00	$1.00	—	score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08	NVDA	BUY	2.0	$230.47	$460.94	$1.00	—	score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08
2026-09-14	SPY	BUY	1.0	$760.52	$760.52	$1.00	—	score +60, FOMC overlay -10 = +50; 七度押後後執行, 夜盤成交
2026-09-17	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$249.23	$498.46	$1.00	—	score +70 回調入場首次觸發 2026-09-17, 夜盤成交
2026-09-17	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$343.36	$343.36	$1.00	—	GOOGL score +65 MACD 轉正, class-swap leg (GOOG), 夜盤成交

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-10-12 · 2026-10-10 · 2026-10-08 · 2026-10-07 · 2026-10-06 · 2026-10-03 · 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23 · 2026-09-21 · 2026-09-19