Fund value$10,160+1.6% since 2026-08-20
Cash$16ready to deploy
Positions$10,144100% deployed
Unrealized P&L$160open positions
Macro overlay
分析時間 HKT 09-30 09:37（ET 09-29 21:37），美股已收市：股票數據 = 9-29 收市，加密收市判斷用 9-29 UTC 收市（9-30 進行中 bar 不作判斷）。9-28 美股跌市（道指 -0.7%、納指 -0.9%），30 年債息同油價再度令市場擔心通脹與聯儲加息；9-29 企穩（SPY -0.2%、QQQ +0.2%）。SPY 收 764.20 高於 200 日線 6.8%，regime 閘門唔觸發。今週事件：核心 PCE 週三 9-30（HKT 20:30）、ISM 製造業週四 10-1、非農週五 10-2（預期 +10 萬，8 月 16.2 萬）。PCE／非農屬常規數據，非 FOMC／CPI 級，覆蓋調整 0。基金現金 $15.80，無法落任何買單；持倉無 TRIM／EXIT 觸發，今日無訂單。TSLA EXIT、GLDM TRIM 係外部持倉信號。主要變化：GOOGL 貼 200 日線 regime 歸零（45→10）；MSFT／META／TAO 12 個月動量翻負係基數效應（分數跌但趨勢未變）；HYPE 回踩入場分點亮（70）；SOL 突破後回踩 120.94 之下兩收。
Events: 核心 PCE 週三 9-30（HKT 20:30） · ISM 製造業 週四 10-1 · 非農 週五 10-2（預期 +100k）
Today's orders
No orders today — nothing to buy or sell; holds and signals are on the scoreboard below.
Scoreboard
| Ticker | Price | 1m | 12m |
vs 200D | Score | Action |
|---|
| Fund universe — US stocks |
| SPY |
$764.20 |
-0.4% |
+16.4% |
+6.8% |
+60 |
STRONG BUY |
| QQQ |
$737.93 |
+3.1% |
+23.8% |
+10.9% |
+60 |
STRONG BUY |
| NVDA |
$227.21 |
+4.6% |
+25.2% |
+13.9% |
+60 |
STRONG BUY |
| AAPL |
$329.40 |
+3.0% |
+29.9% |
+14.4% |
+45 |
BUY |
| AMZN |
$246.67 |
-7.4% |
+11.0% |
+2.4% |
+45 |
BUY |
| MSFT |
$508.96 |
-0.9% |
-0.3% |
+18.1% |
+30 |
BUY |
| META |
$738.79 |
+27.9% |
-0.3% |
+18.0% |
+30 |
BUY |
| GOOGL |
$340.92 |
-1.6% |
+40.1% |
+0.9% |
+10 |
HOLD |
| TSLA |
$352.84 |
+1.2% |
-20.4% |
-10.6% |
-75 |
EXIT |
| Watch only — external accounts |
| HYPE |
$86.30 |
+2.5% |
+90.9% |
+44.6% |
+70 |
STRONG BUY |
| SOL |
$119.12 |
+15.6% |
-42.9% |
+39.4% |
+30 |
BUY |
| MSTR |
$154.67 |
+21.5% |
-52.6% |
+13.5% |
+30 |
BUY |
| TAO |
$302.86 |
+31.4% |
-0.1% |
+22.9% |
+30 |
BUY |
| ONDO |
$0.50 |
+45.6% |
-43.1% |
+46.5% |
+30 |
BUY |
| BTC |
$83,365.88 |
+6.1% |
-26.9% |
+17.0% |
+15 |
HOLD |
| ETH |
$2,671.21 |
+8.3% |
-35.6% |
+26.6% |
+15 |
HOLD |
| GLDM |
$82.64 |
-6.3% |
+9.0% |
-7.9% |
-35 |
TRIM |
Ticker analysis
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +25 · MACD -15
Close$86.30
vs 200-day avg+44.6%
vs 50-day avg+7.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 14
MACD-1.06 falling
Return 1m+2.5%
Return 3m+38.4%
Return 12m+90.9%
From 52-week high-11.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.0%
9-28 -4.6%、9-29 -1.6% 收 86.05，三日由 91.7 回落 6%；RSI3 14 短線極度超賣，回踩入場分 +25 點亮，分數 60→70。但 MACD 柱 -1.06 負（-15），跌勢未止；50 日線 80.6（-6.4%）係規則入場區。用戶目前未持有。信號：回踩買入區接近，按 no-FOMO 規則等 UTC 收市企穩（收返 88 以上或 50 日線企穩）先動；BTC 高於 kill line 76,255，alt 買入未被封。 — regime +40、動量 +20、回踩 +25、MACD -15
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$764.20
vs 200-day avg+6.8%
vs 50-day avg+0.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 33
MACD+0.16 falling
Return 1m-0.4%
Return 3m+2.6%
Return 12m+16.4%
From 52-week high-1.5%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.9%
9-29 收 764.20（-0.2%），連跌兩日但仍高於 50 日線 760.9、200 日線 715.7（+6.8%）；RSI3 33 短線超賣，MACD 柱縮至 +0.16 未轉負。基金持 1 股 @761.52。現金 $15.80 不足最低 $250 一單，今日無法加倉。大市 regime 仍在 200 日線之上，唔觸發降級閘門。 — regime +40、12 個月 +16% 動量 +20；MACD 確認 0
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$737.93
vs 200-day avg+10.9%
vs 50-day avg+3.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 48
MACD+2.23 falling
Return 1m+3.1%
Return 3m+0.3%
Return 12m+23.8%
From 52-week high-1.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%
9-29 收 737.93（+0.2%），距 52 週高 747.5 只 -1.3%；高於 50 日線 3.4%、200 日線 10.9%；MACD 柱 +2.23 仍正但回落。持 3 股 @712.03（+3.6%）。現金不足，無新單；繼續持有。 — regime +40、動量 +20；無回踩入場分
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$227.21
vs 200-day avg+13.9%
vs 50-day avg+4.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 59
MACD+0.50 falling
Return 1m+4.6%
Return 3m+13.7%
Return 12m+25.2%
From 52-week high-3.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.6%
9-29 收 227.21（-0.7%），距 52 週高 235.2 僅 -3.4%；高於 50 日線 216.8 4.8%。持 7 股 @221.85（+2.4%）。現金不足，繼續持有。 — regime +40、動量 +20
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$329.40
vs 200-day avg+14.4%
vs 50-day avg+2.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 20
MACD-0.29 falling
Return 1m+3.0%
Return 3m+13.9%
Return 12m+29.9%
From 52-week high-3.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.1%
9-29 跌 2.7% 收 329.40，係 Mag 7 當日最弱；MACD 柱轉負（-15），RSI3 20 短線超賣，但仍高於 50 日線 321.9。單日約 1.3σ，未到 pulse 級別，原因未查明。持 6 股 @311.02（+5.9%）；分數 60→45 仍係 BUY，唔加唔減；跌穿 50 日線 322 再評估。 — MACD 確認由 0 轉 -15；趨勢分數不變
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$246.67
vs 200-day avg+2.4%
vs 50-day avg-3.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 342 / 26
MACD-0.66 falling
Return 1m-7.4%
Return 3m+3.5%
Return 12m+11.0%
From 52-week high-13.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%
9-29 收 246.67（+0.2%），一個月 -7.4%，Bollinger %B 0.15 貼近下軌，RSI3 27；仍高於 200 日線 241.0（+2.4%）但低於 50 日線 256.1，MACD 柱 -0.66 仍負。持 7 股 @256.88（-4.0%）。現金不足無單。關鍵線 = 200 日線 241：收穿會令 regime 轉負、分數跌至 TRIM 區。 — regime +40、動量 +20、MACD -15
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$508.96
vs 200-day avg+18.1%
vs 50-day avg+6.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 358 / 59
MACD-0.36 rising
Return 1m-0.9%
Return 3m+36.7%
Return 12m-0.3%
From 52-week high-5.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%
9-29 收 508.96（-0.1%），上週四 +3.7% 後已回吐 1.4%；12 個月回報 -0.3% 令動量分由 +20 變 -10，分數 50→30 剛好係 BUY 下限。持 1 股 @493.69（+3.1%）。阻力 524，支持 50 日線 480。無單。 — 動量 12m 翻負（基數效應）；regime +40
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$738.79
vs 200-day avg+18.0%
vs 50-day avg+19.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 365 / 53
MACD+5.55 falling
Return 1m+27.9%
Return 3m+31.2%
Return 12m-0.3%
From 52-week high-5.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%
9-25、9-28 兩日合共 -8% 後，9-29 反彈 +3.2% 收 738.79；仍高於 50 日線 618.6 達 19%。12 個月回報 -0.3% 令動量 -10，分數 45→30。基金無持倉、現金不足。外部持有者：730–740 企穩係 hold，跌穿 700 先算轉弱。 — 動量 12m 翻負；regime +40
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$119.12
vs 200-day avg+39.4%
vs 50-day avg+17.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 46
MACD+0.15 falling
Return 1m+15.6%
Return 3m+53.9%
Return 12m-42.9%
From 52-week high-49.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.2%
9-28 收 118.81、9-29 收 119.08 — 突破 120.94 後連續兩收返回舊阻力之下，屬回踩中（未到 117 假突破線）；9-30 進行中 119.12。支持 117 / 112.4：收穿 117 = 假突破，swing 減倉信號；重上 120.94 收市 = 回踩完成。止損 = UTC 收 <102。非持有者：119–121 係突破回踩區，但按規則等一收企穩 120.94 之上先入。 — regime +40、12m -43% 動量 -10；MACD 確認 0
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$154.67
vs 200-day avg+13.5%
vs 50-day avg+28.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 31
MACD+0.45 falling
Return 1m+21.5%
Return 3m+77.9%
Return 12m-52.6%
From 52-week high-57.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.7%
9-29 收 154.67（-1.6%），三日 -4.4% 而 BTC 持平（beta 1.7 兩邊放大）；高於 200 日線 136.2 13.5%、50 日線 120.1 28.8%。12 個月 -53% 令動量 -10。9-27 研究：mNAV 約 0.86–1.16x，低於 1.2 上限，入場條件仍在。屬 BTC 風險預算，衛星上限 5%，唔係分散。 — regime +40、動量 -10
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$302.86
vs 200-day avg+22.9%
vs 50-day avg+23.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 40
MACD+1.65 falling
Return 1m+31.4%
Return 3m+49.5%
Return 12m-0.1%
From 52-week high-39.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+7.2%
9-28 -3.8%、9-29 -2.4% 收 300.58，由 320 回落 6%；9-30 進行中 302.86。12 個月回報 -0.07% 令動量 +20 → -10，分數 75→30 — 純基數效應，趨勢未變（高於 50 日線 244.9 達 24%）。RSI3 40。回踩區 270–280（前突破位）/ 50 日線 245；唔追。 — 動量 12m 翻負（基數）；regime +40
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$0.50
vs 200-day avg+46.5%
vs 50-day avg+29.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 40
MACD+0.01 falling
Return 1m+45.6%
Return 3m+55.2%
Return 12m-43.1%
From 52-week high-47.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+8.3%
9-27 +9.3% 至 0.59 後 9-28 -11.9%、9-29 -3.8% 收 0.50，反彈一日回吐。高於 50 日線 0.39 30%、200 日線 0.34 47%；12 個月 -43% 動量 -10。ATR 8.3% 波動極大，只可衛星倉；回踩 0.45（50 日線與 0.50 之間）先考慮。 — regime +40、動量 -10
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$83,365.88
vs 200-day avg+17.0%
vs 50-day avg+7.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 360 / 30
MACD-136.73 falling
Return 1m+6.1%
Return 3m+39.0%
Return 12m-26.9%
From 52-week high-33.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%
9-29 UTC 收 83,642（+0.2%）= 突破 82,191 後第 9 收企穩；9-28 收 83,470 仍在箱底 82.8k 之上。MACD 柱 -137 轉負（-15）令分數 30→15，只係動能放緩，唔係趨勢轉向：距 200 日線 71,267 +17%，距 50 日線 77,270 +8%。計劃不變：後半 0.05 只在 82,191 回踩企穩時買；深層 78,600 / 77,300 掛住；swing 沽 0.10 等 93.5–96.9k 牆。kill line 76,255（-8.8%）；$72k 贖回觸發距 -14%。 — regime +40、12m -27% 動量 -10、MACD -15
regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$2,671.21
vs 200-day avg+26.6%
vs 50-day avg+9.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 26
MACD-8.30 falling
Return 1m+8.3%
Return 3m+66.1%
Return 12m-35.6%
From 52-week high-43.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.3%
9-29 UTC 收 2,677（-0.4%），第八日橫行 2,627–2,790；MACD 柱 -8.3 負（-15）。接返單 2,610 距 -2.5%、2,530 第二；收穿 2,416 取消。Swing 已沽 1.5 ETH 到頂格；無新動作。 — regime +40、動量 -10、MACD -15
regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$340.92
vs 200-day avg+0.9%
vs 50-day avg-0.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 34
MACD+0.00 falling
Return 1m-1.6%
Return 3m-4.5%
Return 12m+40.1%
From 52-week high-15.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%
9-29 收 340.92（-0.5%），只高於 200 日線 338.05 0.85%，regime 分由 +40 降至 0，總分 45→10 HOLD；亦低於 50 日線 343.8。基金持 GOOG 4 股 @343.91（-0.9%）。觸發線：收穿 338 → regime -40 → 分數約 -30 TRIM（沽 1 股 = 25%）。今日唔做嘢。 — 貼住 200 日線，regime 分歸零；12m +40% 但只計 +10
regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$82.64
vs 200-day avg-7.9%
vs 50-day avg-3.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 340 / 34
MACD-0.48 falling
Return 1m-6.3%
Return 3m+4.1%
Return 12m+9.0%
From 52-week high-22.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%
9-28 -3.9%、9-29 +1.3% 收 82.64，距 200 日線 89.73 -7.9%、低於 50 日線 85.4；MACD 柱再轉負（-15），9-26 嘅 HOLD 重返 TRIM。Bollinger %B 0.05 貼下軌，可能技術反彈，但趨勢仍向下。基金無持倉；外部持有黃金：TRIM 信號（減 25%），至少唔加；重上 200 日線 89.7 先解除。 — regime -40、12m +9% 動量 +20、MACD -15
regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15
Close$352.84
vs 200-day avg-10.6%
vs 50-day avg+1.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 345 / 11
MACD-1.50 falling
Return 1m+1.2%
Return 3m-16.1%
Return 12m-20.4%
From 52-week high-28.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.5%
9-29 收 352.84（-1.3%），三日 -6.5%，低於 200 日線 394.7 達 10.6%，12 個月 -20%，MACD 柱 -1.50 擴大。RSI3 10.6 極度超賣可能反彈，但 395 以下嘅反彈都係沽出位。基金無持倉；外部持有者：EXIT 信號維持（9-26 起），分數由 -60 再降至 -75。 — regime -40、動量 -20、MACD -15
Portfolio
What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.
| Ticker | Shares | Avg cost | Price |
Value | Unrealized P&L | Today's action |
|---|
| AAPL |
6 |
$311.02 |
$329.40 |
$1,976.40 |
$110.26 (+5.9%) |
BUY |
| AMZN |
7 |
$256.88 |
$246.67 |
$1,726.69 |
$-71.49 (-4.0%) |
BUY |
| GOOG |
4 |
$343.91 |
$340.92 |
$1,363.68 |
$-11.96 (-0.9%) |
HOLD |
| MSFT |
1 |
$493.69 |
$508.96 |
$508.96 |
$15.27 (+3.1%) |
BUY |
| NVDA |
7 |
$221.85 |
$227.21 |
$1,590.47 |
$37.54 (+2.4%) |
STRONG BUY |
| QQQ |
3 |
$712.03 |
$737.93 |
$2,213.79 |
$77.69 (+3.6%) |
STRONG BUY |
| SPY |
1 |
$761.52 |
$764.20 |
$764.20 |
$2.68 (+0.4%) |
STRONG BUY |
Trade log
| Date | Ticker | Side | Qty | Price |
Amount | Fee | Realized P&L | Note |
|---|
| 2026-08-20 | QQQ |
BUY | 1.0 |
$712.80 | $712.80 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349 |
| 2026-08-21 | NVDA |
BUY | 4.0 |
$217.64 | $870.56 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay) |
| 2026-08-21 | QQQ |
BUY | 1.0 |
$712.85 | $712.85 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +75, second tranche |
| 2026-08-22 | AAPL |
BUY | 3.0 |
$310.81 | $932.43 |
$1.00 |
— | STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22 |
| 2026-08-24 | AAPL |
BUY | 3.0 |
$310.57 | $931.71 |
$1.00 |
— | user fill 2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-24 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$341.14 | $341.14 |
$1.00 |
— | user fill 2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-25 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$344.81 | $344.81 |
$1.00 |
— | GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg |
| 2026-08-25 | QQQ |
BUY | 1.0 |
$707.45 | $707.45 |
$1.00 |
— | score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry |
| 2026-08-26 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$342.33 | $342.33 |
$1.00 |
— | GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg |
| 2026-08-26 | AMZN |
BUY | 2.0 |
$259.93 | $519.86 |
$1.00 |
— | score +50/-15 event overlay, first position |
| 2026-08-27 | MSFT |
BUY | 1.0 |
$492.69 | $492.69 |
$1.00 |
— | score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat |
| 2026-08-31 | NVDA |
BUY | 1.0 |
$218.43 | $218.43 |
$1.00 |
— | score +45 post-earnings digestion entry |
| 2026-09-08 | AMZN |
BUY | 2.0 |
$258.50 | $517.00 |
$1.00 |
— | score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-08 | NVDA |
BUY | 2.0 |
$230.47 | $460.94 |
$1.00 |
— | score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-14 | SPY |
BUY | 1.0 |
$760.52 | $760.52 |
$1.00 |
— | score +60, FOMC overlay -10 = +50; 七度押後後執行, 夜盤成交 |
| 2026-09-17 | AMZN |
BUY | 2.0 |
$249.23 | $498.46 |
$1.00 |
— | score +70 回調入場首次觸發 2026-09-17, 夜盤成交 |
| 2026-09-17 | GOOG |
BUY | 1.0 |
$343.36 | $343.36 |
$1.00 |
— | GOOGL score +65 MACD 轉正, class-swap leg (GOOG), 夜盤成交 |
| 2026-09-22 | AMZN |
BUY | 1.0 |
$258.86 | $258.86 |
$1.00 |
— | score +60, 用盡現金嘅可選注 2026-09-22 夜盤 |
Total realized P&L: $0.00
Past editions: 2026-10-15 · 2026-10-14 · 2026-10-12 · 2026-10-10 · 2026-10-08 · 2026-10-07 · 2026-10-06 · 2026-10-03 · 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23