Invest Daily Brief

Fund value$10,086+0.9% since 2026-08-20

Cash$1,881ready to deploy

Positions$8,20581% deployed

Unrealized P&L$86open positions

Macro overlay

八月 CPI 實數:整體月率 +0.4%、年率 3.4%,兩項都符預期;核心月率 +0.3% 高過預期嘅 +0.2%,但核心年率由 2.5% 回落到 2.4%。混合數據——月度偏熱令下週加息機率升到八至九成(Polymarket/CME),但年率續降令市場讀成「加一次,唔係加一輪」,所以股債匯全部照升,標普週五收 $764.29。下星期三(9/16)FOMC 係下一個關口,但性質已經變咗:加息本身重度 price in,真正變數係點陣圖同記者會嘅指引——所以今次事件扣分用 −10 而唔係 −15,因為二元性低咗。今日最大訊號變化係 GOOGL:週五收 $338.50 收復 200 日線($336.38),量化由 −45 彈返 +10,TRIM 訊號正式取消——上星期押後執行嗰個決定,事後證明避開咗喺底部沽貨。

Events: FOMC 9/16(加息 80–90% 已 price in,變數在指引) · 核心 CPI 月率 +0.3% 偏熱、年率 2.4% 續降 · 下份 CPI 10 月

Today's orders

1 buy order(s) ≈ $764 — candidates, not obligations.

Side	Ticker	Quantity	Est. cost	Note
BUY	SPY	1 股 SPY	$764	整股——任何時段包括 overnight;執行後現金約 $1,117

Scoreboard

Ticker	Price	1m	12m	vs 200D	Score	Action
Fund universe — US stocks
AAPL	$332.27	+9.9%	+45.0%	+16.8%	+55	BUY
SPY	$764.29	-1.1%	+17.5%	+7.3%	+50	BUY
AMZN	$256.78	-3.9%	+11.7%	+7.1%	+50	BUY
QQQ	$714.88	-1.2%	+23.0%	+8.4%	+40	BUY
NVDA	$218.29	-2.5%	+23.5%	+10.8%	+35	BUY
MSFT	$495.63	+0.8%	-0.3%	+15.4%	+20	HOLD
META	$648.03	+12.0%	-13.4%	+4.1%	+20	HOLD
GOOGL	$338.50	-1.4%	+41.2%	+0.6%	+0	HOLD
TSLA	$365.44	+11.6%	-0.9%	-8.4%	-60	EXIT
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE	$78.82	+37.2%	+42.5%	+44.2%	+45	BUY
SOL	$102.08	+33.9%	-57.9%	+22.9%	+30	HOLD
ETH	$2,514.02	+33.4%	-46.7%	+22.3%	+30	HOLD
BTC	$77,305.61	+21.9%	-33.4%	+10.3%	+15	HOLD
ONDO	$0.35	+4.9%	-68.1%	+7.5%	+5	HOLD
GLDM	$86.00	-1.5%	+19.4%	-4.0%	-20	HOLD
TAO	$236.51	+16.4%	-34.7%	-1.0%	-35	EXIT
MSTR	$130.97	+38.1%	-59.8%	-5.1%	-50	TRIM

Ticker analysis

AAPL

$332.27 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback -10 · MACD +15 · overlay -10

Close$332.27

vs 200-day avg+16.8%

vs 50-day avg+4.5%

RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 81

MACD+1.31 rising

Return 1m+9.9%

Return 3m+14.2%

Return 12m+45.0%

From 52-week high-2.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化 +65,週五 +2.3% 收 $332.27,12 個月 +45% 繼續全場最強。持倉 6 股約佔基金 19.9%——貼死兩成上限,加唔到。呢隻由開倉到而家未曾減過一股,係組合最大貢獻者。 — 頂住兩成上限。

SPY

$764.29 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$764.29

vs 200-day avg+7.3%

vs 50-day avg+0.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 53

MACD-1.44 rising

Return 1m-1.1%

Return 3m+3.3%

Return 12m+17.5%

From 52-week high-1.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

量化 +60(動量 +20、MACD 修復到 0),扣 FOMC −10 後 +50。呢個訊號已經連續押後六次(8/28、9/1、9/2、9/3、9/10、9/11)——每次都有正當理由,但累積效果係:事件密集嘅月份入面,個系統永遠買唔到指數。今次建議執行:1 股 $764(STRONG BUY 級注碼約 $1,000,一股等於 76%,略細但可接受),執行後現金剩約 $1,117(11%)。加息已 price in,剩返嘅指引風險用 −10 表達咗,唔應該再用押後表達多一次。 — 六度押後後執行:訊號最強、事件已重度定價、現金仍留 11%。

AMZN

$256.78 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$256.78

vs 200-day avg+7.1%

vs 50-day avg+0.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 62

MACD-1.11 rising

Return 1m-3.9%

Return 3m+7.6%

Return 12m+11.7%

From 52-week high-9.6%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化由 +45 升到 +60(MACD 由 −15 修復到 0,動量 +20)。週五收 $256.78,較上週建議嘅 $253 高 1.5%。持倉 4 股(平均 $259.72)。今日注碼配俾 SPY——現金得 $1,881,兩張都落會去到 94% 投入,FOMC 前太盡。排下一位,SPY 成交後如果訊號仲在,下次考慮。 — 訊號同樣升到 +60,但現金限制下排 SPY 之後。

HYPE watch only

$78.82 · as of 2026-09-12 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$78.82

vs 200-day avg+44.2%

vs 50-day avg+15.0%

RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 22

MACD-1.54 falling

Return 1m+37.2%

Return 3m+29.9%

Return 12m+42.5%

From 52-week high-10.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+5.6%

觀察名單。$78.82,RSI3 22 深度回吐,200 日線上 +44%(由高峰 +63% 大幅收窄)。你嘅 starter 目標區 ~$72 而家差 8.6%,50 日線 $68 差 13%。有貨嘅 trail 不變(~$72 減半、$61.4 硬離場)。再跌多一浪就到你想要嘅位。 — 回吐持續,starter 區接近但未到。

QQQ

$714.88 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +40

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$714.88

vs 200-day avg+8.4%

vs 50-day avg+0.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 54

MACD-0.49 rising

Return 1m-1.2%

Return 3m-0.8%

Return 12m+23.0%

From 52-week high-4.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%

量化 +50(MACD 修復)。持倉 3 股約 21%,ETF 上限 40% 仲有空間但今日注碼已配俾 SPY,而且兩者高度重疊。無動作。 — 同 SPY 重疊;今日注碼已配置。

NVDA

$218.29 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

Close$218.29

vs 200-day avg+10.8%

vs 50-day avg+2.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 24

MACD-0.51 falling

Return 1m-2.5%

Return 3m+6.5%

Return 12m+23.5%

From 52-week high-7.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.1%

量化 +45(MACD 仍 −15)。持倉 7 股(平均 $221.85,現價 $218.29,−1.6%)。FOMC 週唔加注;科技股對利率指引最敏感。 — 事件週;持倉觀望。

SOL watch only

$102.08 · as of 2026-09-12 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$102.08

vs 200-day avg+22.9%

vs 50-day avg+16.7%

RSI 14 / RSI 358 / 52

MACD-1.13 rising

Return 1m+33.9%

Return 3m+48.2%

Return 12m-57.9%

From 52-week high-58.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+4.5%

觀察名單——重返條件達成。週五 UTC 收 $102.44、週六收 $102.08,連續兩日企穩 $102 之上,正正係之前寫低嘅「連續兩日收上 $102 先算有效重返」。追蹤倉可按規則重入,止蝕返回 $102 收市基準。留意呢個係第三次進出($96.59 止蝕 → $102.05 重入 → $99.96 再止蝕 → 而家再重入),累積摩擦成本唔平——重入前想清楚:注碼係咪應該細過上次。 — 連續兩日收復 $102,重返條件成立;但要正視反覆成本。

ETH watch only

$2,514.02 · as of 2026-09-12 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$2,514.02

vs 200-day avg+22.3%

vs 50-day avg+15.7%

RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 68

MACD-16.69 rising

Return 1m+33.4%

Return 3m+49.7%

Return 12m-46.7%

From 52-week high-46.7%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.7%

觀察名單。$2,514,量化由 +15 升到 +30,企穩 $2,470 舊確認線之上,遠離 $2,416 floor(+4.1%)。上方 $2,619 減倉位差 4.2%。9 月 2 日突破失敗之後嘅完整修復——但要記住呢隻已經喺呢個區域反覆五次,唔好因為今次企穩就當結構穩固。 — 修復完成但反覆紀錄在案;$2,619 前無新動作。

MSFT

$495.63 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$495.63

vs 200-day avg+15.4%

vs 50-day avg+9.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 51

MACD-3.85 rising

Return 1m+0.8%

Return 3m+27.1%

Return 12m-0.3%

From 52-week high-7.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.1%

量化由 +15 升到 +30(MACD 由 −15 修復到 0),但 12 個月動量仍 −10。持倉 1 股基本打和。距離重新合格差一步:12 個月回報要轉正。 — 修復中但未過關。

BTC watch only

$77,305.61 · as of 2026-09-12 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$77,305.61

vs 200-day avg+10.3%

vs 50-day avg+9.0%

RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 37

MACD-757.29 falling

Return 1m+21.9%

Return 3m+20.0%

Return 12m-33.4%

From 52-week high-38.0%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.8%

觀察名單——殺掣第四次守住。CPI 當日插針入爆倉磁石區($76.1–76.3k)後收復,週五 UTC 收 $77,207、週六 $77,305,殺掣線 $76,255 安全。區間第 24 日,波動率仍壓縮。棋盤不變:上方沽單 $82,800(建議加 $80.8–81.2k)、下方買單 $76,500–76,600、殺掣 $76,255、物流線 $72,000(距 −6.8%)。接貨階梯全文喺 BTC 卡。 — 第四次守住支持帶;棋盤三向就緒,FOMC 係下個催化劑。

ONDO watch only

$0.35 · as of 2026-09-12 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +5

regime +40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$0.35

vs 200-day avg+7.5%

vs 50-day avg-3.1%

RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 37

MACD-0.00 falling

Return 1m+4.9%

Return 3m-3.7%

Return 12m-68.1%

From 52-week high-68.1%

Volatility (ATR14)+6.4%

觀察名單。$0.3504,仍企 200 日線上 7.5%,但量化跌到 +5(12 個月動量組件變 −20)。止蝕不變:UTC 日收穿 $0.326 全走。趨勢未破但動能轉弱,唔加注。 — 結構未破但動能轉弱;持有不加。

GOOGL

$338.50 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +0

regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$338.50

vs 200-day avg+0.6%

vs 50-day avg-2.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 63

MACD-0.40 rising

Return 1m-1.4%

Return 3m-5.8%

Return 12m+41.2%

From 52-week high-15.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

TRIM 訊號取消。週五收 $338.50,收復 200 日線 $336.38(+0.6%),regime 組件由 −40 歸零,量化 −45 → +10。呢個正正係當日寫低嘅重置條件(「日收重上 $336 一帶訊號自動重置」)。實際結果:上星期三張賣單掛咗三日冇執行,而家股價高過當時 $331–333 約 2%——押後執行今次係啱嘅,但要老實講,呢個係運氣同規則各佔一半:規則救你嘅係『收復就取消』呢半,唔係『押後』嗰半。持倉 3 股 GOOG 維持不變。 — 收復 200 日線,TRIM 自動取消;倉位不變。

GLDM watch only

$86.00 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 -20

regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$86.00

vs 200-day avg-4.0%

vs 50-day avg+1.9%

RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 39

MACD-0.63 rising

Return 1m-1.5%

Return 3m+3.2%

Return 12m+19.4%

From 52-week high-19.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%

觀察名單(金)。$86.00,200 日線下 4.0%,量化 −20(動量組件仍 +20 撐住)。加息 price in 對金係持續逆風。禁買鐵律繼續;收市重上 $89.6 先重置。 — 線下;禁買不變。

TAO watch only

$236.51 · as of 2026-09-12 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -35

regime +0 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$236.51

vs 200-day avg-1.0%

vs 50-day avg+9.9%

RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 30

MACD-1.18 falling

Return 1m+16.4%

Return 3m-9.9%

Return 12m-34.7%

From 52-week high-52.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+7.0%

觀察名單——止蝕仍然有效。三日收市($235.05 / $235.53 / $236.51)全部喺 200 日線 $238.84 之下,冇收復。9 月 10 日觸發嘅離場指令繼續成立,反彈到 $238 附近係更好嘅離場價,唔係守返住嘅理由。重入條件:UTC 日收企返 $238.84 之上。 — 三日未收復 200 日線;離場指令持續。

MSTR watch only

$130.97 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

TRIM

−100

+100 -50

regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$130.97

vs 200-day avg-5.1%

vs 50-day avg+22.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 43

MACD+0.01 falling

Return 1m+38.1%

Return 3m+5.6%

Return 12m-59.8%

From 52-week high-63.6%

Volatility (ATR14)+6.5%

觀察名單。$130.97,200 日線下 5.1%(觸發位 $138)。BTC 週五升佢升少啲、跌嗰陣跌多啲——浮動倍數繼續示範緊佢嘅不對稱。雙條件(日收企穩 200 日線 + mNAV < 1.2)未達成,禁買繼續。 — 仍喺線下 5%;雙條件未達成。

TSLA

$365.44 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -60

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$365.44

vs 200-day avg-8.4%

vs 50-day avg+3.1%

RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 54

MACD+1.86 falling

Return 1m+11.6%

Return 3m-10.1%

Return 12m-0.9%

From 52-week high-25.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.9%

由 −30 惡化到 −60:12 個月回報轉負(−0.9%),動量組件由 +10 變 −20,價格仍喺 200 日線下 8.4%。無基金持倉;外部持倉:呢個係全走訊號(50–100%),用反彈出貨。收復 $399 一帶先改觀。 — 動量組件反轉,跌入 EXIT 級。

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

Ticker	Shares	Avg cost	Price	Value	Unrealized P&L	Today's action
AAPL	6	$311.02	$332.27	$1,993.62	$127.48 (+6.8%)	BUY
AMZN	4	$259.71	$256.78	$1,027.12	$-11.74 (-1.1%)	BUY
GOOG	3	$343.76	$338.50	$1,015.50	$-15.78 (-1.5%)	HOLD
MSFT	1	$493.69	$495.63	$495.63	$1.94 (+0.4%)	HOLD
NVDA	7	$221.85	$218.29	$1,528.03	$-24.90 (-1.6%)	BUY
QQQ	3	$712.03	$714.88	$2,144.64	$8.54 (+0.4%)	BUY

Trade log

Date	Ticker	Side	Qty	Price	Amount	Fee	Realized P&L	Note
2026-08-20	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.80	$712.80	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21	NVDA	BUY	4.0	$217.64	$870.56	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.85	$712.85	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.81	$932.43	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.57	$931.71	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$341.14	$341.14	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$344.81	$344.81	$1.00	—	GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$707.45	$707.45	$1.00	—	score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$342.33	$342.33	$1.00	—	GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$259.93	$519.86	$1.00	—	score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27	MSFT	BUY	1.0	$492.69	$492.69	$1.00	—	score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31	NVDA	BUY	1.0	$218.43	$218.43	$1.00	—	score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$258.50	$517.00	$1.00	—	score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08	NVDA	BUY	2.0	$230.47	$460.94	$1.00	—	score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23 · 2026-09-21 · 2026-09-19 · 2026-09-18 · 2026-09-17 · 2026-09-16 · 2026-09-15 · 2026-09-14 · 2026-09-12