Invest Tools · Daily Brief

Invest Daily Brief

2026-09-14· 17 tickers·data: tiingo
Fund value$10,086+0.9% since 2026-08-20
Cash$1,881ready to deploy
Positions$8,20581% deployed
Unrealized P&L$86open positions

Macro overlay

本週兩個大關口:週三(9/16)FOMC——CME FedWatch 顯示加息 25 點子機率約 87%,即係決定本身已經重度定價,真正變數係聲明用詞同記者會;留意 Warsh 上任以嚟一直拒絕提交自己嘅點陣圖並批評前瞻指引,所以今次可能連「指引」呢個變數都冇,市場要靠聲明字眼自己猜。然後係週五(9/18)史上最大規模嘅三重結算(約 9.6 萬億美元期權到期),波幅風險會集中喺週尾。十年債息迫近 5%,係整個風險資產嘅背景壓力。事件扣分維持 −10(唔係 −15):加息已 price in,二元性低。最重要嘅一則好消息喺 crypto:BTC 週日 UTC 週收 $76,808.77,企穩殺掣線 $76,255 之上——呢個係 9 月 3 日定義嘅第三級企穩指標,支持帶由日線(四次)升級到週線確認。

Events: FOMC 週三 9/16(加息機率約 87%,Warsh 或不提供點陣圖) · 史上最大三重結算 週五 9/18(約 9.6 萬億) · 十年債息迫近 5%

Today's orders

1 buy order(s) ≈ $764 — candidates, not obligations.

SideTickerQuantityEst. costNote
BUY SPY 1 股 SPY $764 整股——任何時段;IB overnight 無報價,以前收 $764.29 為準,無 gap

Scoreboard

TickerPrice1m12m vs 200DScoreAction
Fund universe — US stocks
AAPL $332.27 +9.9% +45.0% +16.8% +55 BUY
SPY $764.29 -1.1% +17.5% +7.3% +50 BUY
AMZN $256.78 -3.9% +11.7% +7.1% +50 BUY
QQQ $714.88 -1.2% +23.0% +8.4% +40 BUY
NVDA $218.29 -2.5% +23.5% +10.8% +35 BUY
MSFT $495.63 +0.8% -0.3% +15.4% +20 HOLD
META $648.03 +12.0% -13.4% +4.1% +20 HOLD
GOOGL $338.50 -1.4% +41.2% +0.6% +0 HOLD
TSLA $365.44 +11.6% -0.9% -8.4% -60 EXIT
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE $80.02 +40.7% +48.9% +45.1% +60 STRONG BUY
SOL $100.91 +34.0% -57.9% +21.3% +30 HOLD
ETH $2,511.19 +33.5% -45.5% +21.9% +30 HOLD
BTC $77,512.22 +23.0% -32.8% +10.4% +30 HOLD
ONDO $0.35 +9.2% -66.4% +7.8% +20 HOLD
GLDM $86.00 -1.5% +19.4% -4.0% -20 HOLD
MSTR $130.97 +38.1% -59.8% -5.1% -50 TRIM
TAO $235.53 +19.8% -32.8% -1.6% -75 EXIT

Ticker analysis

HYPE watch only

$80.02 · as of 2026-09-14 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

20.0040.0060.0080.002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$80.02
vs 200-day avg+45.1%
vs 50-day avg+15.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 353 / 52
MACD-1.57 rising
Return 1m+40.7%
Return 3m+19.6%
Return 12m+48.9%
From 52-week high-9.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.5%

觀察名單。$80.02,量化回升到 +60,200 日線上 +45%(由高峰 +63% 收窄)。你嘅 starter 目標區 ~$72 差 9.9%,50 日線 $69 差 14%。有貨嘅 trail 不變(~$72 減半、$61.4 硬離場)。分數強唔代表可以喺延伸 45% 嘅位開新倉——規則同以前一樣。 — 分數強但延伸度高;starter 區未到。

AAPL

$332.27 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback -10 · MACD +15 · overlay -10

2503002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$332.27
vs 200-day avg+16.8%
vs 50-day avg+4.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 81
MACD+1.31 rising
Return 1m+9.9%
Return 3m+14.2%
Return 12m+45.0%
From 52-week high-2.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化 +65,12 個月 +45% 繼續全場最強。持倉 6 股約佔基金 19.8%,兩成上限鎖死。RSI3 81 偏熱但上限唔理呢啲——呢隻由開倉至今未減過一股,係組合最大貢獻者。 — 頂住兩成上限。

SPY

$764.29 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$764.29
vs 200-day avg+7.3%
vs 50-day avg+0.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 53
MACD-1.44 rising
Return 1m-1.1%
Return 3m+3.3%
Return 12m+17.5%
From 52-week high-1.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

量化 +60,扣 FOMC −10 = +50。週六建議嘅 1 股訂單未成交,今日繼續有效:$764.29(IB overnight 無報價,回落到前收,即係同建議價一致,唔存在 gap 問題)。執行後現金約 $1,117(11%)。要知嘅額外風險:週五三重結算係史上最大規模,波幅會集中喺週尾——但呢個係波動事件唔係方向事件,唔另外扣分。呢個訊號已經押後七次,詳細理由喺上週報告。 — 訂單延續;IB 無 gap,注碼同現金安排不變。

AMZN

$256.78 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

2002252502752025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$256.78
vs 200-day avg+7.1%
vs 50-day avg+0.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 62
MACD-1.11 rising
Return 1m-3.9%
Return 3m+7.6%
Return 12m+11.7%
From 52-week high-9.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化 +60(動量 +20、MACD 修復),持倉 4 股(平均 $259.72,現價 $256.78,−1.1%)。今日注碼配俾 SPY;SPY 成交後如果訊號仲在,下一輪輪到佢。 — 同級訊號但排 SPY 之後;現金限制。

QQQ

$714.88 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +40

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$714.88
vs 200-day avg+8.4%
vs 50-day avg+0.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 54
MACD-0.49 rising
Return 1m-1.2%
Return 3m-0.8%
Return 12m+23.0%
From 52-week high-4.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%

量化 +50。持倉 3 股約 21%(ETF 上限 40%)。同 SPY 高度重疊,今日唔重複落注。 — 同 SPY 重疊。

NVDA

$218.29 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

1502002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$218.29
vs 200-day avg+10.8%
vs 50-day avg+2.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 24
MACD-0.51 falling
Return 1m-2.5%
Return 3m+6.5%
Return 12m+23.5%
From 52-week high-7.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.1%

量化 +45(MACD 仍 −15)。持倉 7 股(平均 $221.85,−1.6%)。債息迫近 5% 對高估值科技係最直接壓力,FOMC 週唔加注。 — 事件週 + 債息壓力;持倉觀望。

SOL watch only

$100.91 · as of 2026-09-14 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

1001502026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$100.91
vs 200-day avg+21.3%
vs 50-day avg+14.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 50
MACD-1.27 rising
Return 1m+34.0%
Return 3m+36.5%
Return 12m-57.9%
From 52-week high-59.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.3%

觀察名單——轉弱。週日 UTC 收 $99.26,同時跌穿咗 $102 重返線同 $99.90 支持。離場狀態繼續,而且結構退咗一級:下一個有意義嘅接位係 $89.5(−11.3%)。重返條件不變(連續兩日收上 $102),但而家距離拉遠到 2.1%。呢隻本月已經兩次止蝕,而家連支持都失守——耐心係最平嘅選擇。 — 跌穿支持,結構退級;離場觀望不變。

ETH watch only

$2,511.19 · as of 2026-09-14 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

2,0003,0002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$2,511.19
vs 200-day avg+21.9%
vs 50-day avg+14.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 61
MACD-16.67 rising
Return 1m+33.5%
Return 3m+39.9%
Return 12m-45.5%
From 52-week high-46.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.5%

觀察名單。週日 UTC 收 $2,478,仍企 $2,416 floor 之上 +2.6%,但由週五 $2,516 回落。你上週五喺 $2,600 減咗 0.8 ETH,事後睇係好位。餘下 7.2 ETH:floor $2,416 不變,$2,619 減倉位仍可掛(距 +4.3%)。 — 回落但結構完好;減倉單可續掛。

BTC watch only

$77,512.22 · as of 2026-09-14 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

60,00080,000100,0002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$77,512.22
vs 200-day avg+10.4%
vs 50-day avg+8.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 54
MACD-738.23 rising
Return 1m+23.0%
Return 3m+16.9%
Return 12m-32.8%
From 52-week high-37.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%

觀察名單——第三級企穩確認。週日 UTC 週收 $76,808.77,企穩殺掣線 $76,255:支持帶由日線四次守住,升級到週線層面確認,呢個係 9 月 3 日定義嘅最後一級。量化亦由 +15 升到 +30(MACD 修復)。區間第 27 日,兩邊劇本齊備:向上 $82,191 日收觸發突破劇本(拆兩截),向下 $76,500–76,600 接貨、$76,255 殺掣、$72,000 啟動贖回。完整階梯喺 BTC 卡。 — 週收確認第三級企穩;兩邊劇本就緒。

MSFT

$495.63 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

4005002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$495.63
vs 200-day avg+15.4%
vs 50-day avg+9.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 51
MACD-3.85 rising
Return 1m+0.8%
Return 3m+27.1%
Return 12m-0.3%
From 52-week high-7.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.1%

量化 +30,MACD 已修復但 12 個月動量仍 −10(年回報 −0.3%,喺門檻邊緣)。持倉 1 股打和。差一步合格:12 個月回報轉正。 — 動量組件未轉正。

META

$648.03 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$648.03
vs 200-day avg+4.1%
vs 50-day avg+7.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 367 / 78
MACD+9.88 falling
Return 1m+12.0%
Return 3m+14.4%
Return 12m-13.4%
From 52-week high-16.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.3%

量化 +30,企穩 200 日線上 4.1%,RSI3 78。一個月由 −60 反轉到 +30 仍然係全場最大逆轉,但 12 個月動量未轉正。無基金持倉;想開倉等回踩 200 日線($622)。 — 反轉未成熟;等回踩。

ONDO watch only

$0.35 · as of 2026-09-14 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

0.200.400.602026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$0.35
vs 200-day avg+7.8%
vs 50-day avg-2.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 348 / 55
MACD-0.00 rising
Return 1m+9.2%
Return 3m-4.6%
Return 12m-66.4%
From 52-week high-67.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+6.0%

觀察名單。$0.3495,量化由 +5 回升到 +20(MACD 轉中性),仍企 200 日線上 7.8%。止蝕不變:UTC 日收穿 $0.33 全走。同 TAO 對比鮮明——同一輪板塊回吐,ONDO 守得住結構,TAO 冇。 — 結構守住;持有不加。

GOOGL

$338.50 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +0

regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

2003004002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$338.50
vs 200-day avg+0.6%
vs 50-day avg-2.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 63
MACD-0.40 rising
Return 1m-1.4%
Return 3m-5.8%
Return 12m+41.2%
From 52-week high-15.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化 +10,收復 200 日線後企穩(+0.6%)。TRIM 已於上週取消。持倉 3 股 GOOG 維持。呢條線仍然要盯:再跌穿 $336 收市,TRIM 會再觸發。 — 剛收復;倉位不變但繼續盯線。

GLDM watch only

$86.00 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 -20

regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

60801002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$86.00
vs 200-day avg-4.0%
vs 50-day avg+1.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 39
MACD-0.63 rising
Return 1m-1.5%
Return 3m+3.2%
Return 12m+19.4%
From 52-week high-19.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%

觀察名單(金)。$86.00,200 日線下 4.0%。債息迫近 5% = 實質利率上升 = 金持續逆風。禁買鐵律繼續;收市重上 $89.6 先重置。 — 線下;禁買不變。

MSTR watch only

$130.97 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -50

regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

1002003002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$130.97
vs 200-day avg-5.1%
vs 50-day avg+22.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 43
MACD+0.01 falling
Return 1m+38.1%
Return 3m+5.6%
Return 12m-59.8%
From 52-week high-63.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+6.5%

觀察名單。$130.97,200 日線下 5.1%(觸發位約 $138)。雙條件(日收企穩 200 日線 + mNAV < 1.2)未達成,禁買繼續。 — 線下 5%;雙條件未達成。

TSLA

$365.44 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
EXIT
−100
+100 -60

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

3004005002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$365.44
vs 200-day avg-8.4%
vs 50-day avg+3.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 54
MACD+1.86 falling
Return 1m+11.6%
Return 3m-10.1%
Return 12m-0.9%
From 52-week high-25.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.9%

維持 −60:200 日線下 8.4%,12 個月回報負,3 個月 −10%。無基金持倉;外部持倉:全走訊號,用反彈出貨。收復 $399 一帶先改觀。 — EXIT 級不變。

TAO watch only

$235.53 · as of 2026-09-14 · tiingo
EXIT
−100
+100 -75

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2003002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$235.53
vs 200-day avg-1.6%
vs 50-day avg+8.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 46
MACD-2.21 falling
Return 1m+19.8%
Return 3m-11.5%
Return 12m-32.8%
From 52-week high-52.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+6.6%

觀察名單——惡化。量化由 −35 跌到 −75(動量 −20、MACD −15 齊齊轉負),三日收市($235.53 / $232.73 / $231.27)一路向下,從未收復 200 日線 $239.33。9 月 10 日觸發嘅離場指令繼續有效,而且每日成本更高——由觸發日 $235 計已再跌 1.6%。呢個係「止蝕唔執行會點」嘅實時示範。重入條件不變:UTC 日收企返 $239.33 之上。 — 分數再惡化,三日未收復;離場指令持續。

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

TickerSharesAvg costPrice ValueUnrealized P&LToday's action
AAPL 6 $311.02 $332.27 $1,993.62 $127.48 (+6.8%) BUY
AMZN 4 $259.71 $256.78 $1,027.12 $-11.74 (-1.1%) BUY
GOOG 3 $343.76 $338.50 $1,015.50 $-15.78 (-1.5%) HOLD
MSFT 1 $493.69 $495.63 $495.63 $1.94 (+0.4%) HOLD
NVDA 7 $221.85 $218.29 $1,528.03 $-24.90 (-1.6%) BUY
QQQ 3 $712.03 $714.88 $2,144.64 $8.54 (+0.4%) BUY

Trade log

DateTickerSideQtyPrice AmountFeeRealized P&LNote
2026-08-20QQQ BUY1.0 $712.80$712.80 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21NVDA BUY4.0 $217.64$870.56 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21QQQ BUY1.0 $712.85$712.85 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22AAPL BUY3.0 $310.81$932.43 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24AAPL BUY3.0 $310.57$931.71 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24GOOG BUY1.0 $341.14$341.14 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25GOOG BUY1.0 $344.81$344.81 $1.00 —GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25QQQ BUY1.0 $707.45$707.45 $1.00 —score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26GOOG BUY1.0 $342.33$342.33 $1.00 —GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26AMZN BUY2.0 $259.93$519.86 $1.00 —score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27MSFT BUY1.0 $492.69$492.69 $1.00 —score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31NVDA BUY1.0 $218.43$218.43 $1.00 —score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08AMZN BUY2.0 $258.50$517.00 $1.00 —score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08NVDA BUY2.0 $230.47$460.94 $1.00 —score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-10-03 · 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23 · 2026-09-21 · 2026-09-19 · 2026-09-18 · 2026-09-17 · 2026-09-16 · 2026-09-15 · 2026-09-14