Invest Daily Brief

Fund value$9,989-0.1% since 2026-08-20

Cash$1,119ready to deploy

Positions$8,87089% deployed

Unrealized P&L$-11open positions

Macro overlay

FOMC 決定今晚(香港時間 9 月 17 日 02:00,Warsh 記者會 02:30):市場已價入約 88–91% 機率加息 25 點子至 3.75–4.00%,但大行分歧(摩根預期加、高盛話「極不可能」)——即係無論加定唔加都有一邊要重新定價。美股上日普遍回落(SPY −0.5%,MACD 柱全面擴大),基金宇宙全部覆蓋 −10 分處理事件風險;觀察名單唔調整。加密:BTC 9 月 15 日 UTC 收市 $75,592 跌穿殺掣線 $76,255,28 日區間失守,ETH floor 同 SOL 重返線同日失守——三隻全部按計劃停買、核心持有;ONDO 同日收穿 $0.33 止蝕線,全走。週五 9/18 係三重結算日。

Events: FOMC 決定 9/17 02:00 HKT(加息 ~90% 價入) · Warsh 記者會 02:30 HKT · 三重結算週五 9/18 · BTC 殺掣已觸發(9-15 收 $75,592) · ONDO 止蝕觸發(9-15 收 $0.3281 < $0.33)

Today's orders

1 buy order(s) ≈ $345 — candidates, not obligations.

Side	Ticker	Quantity	Est. cost	Note
BUY	GOOGL	1 股 GOOGL	$345	整股——任何時段包括夜盤;市場已收,無需即市檢查;執行後現金約 $774

Scoreboard

Ticker	Price	1m	12m	vs 200D	Score	Action
Fund universe — US stocks
GOOGL	$344.98	-0.2%	+37.5%	+2.5%	+55	BUY
AAPL	$331.34	+8.3%	+40.5%	+16.2%	+50	BUY
SPY	$757.39	-2.4%	+15.9%	+6.2%	+35	BUY
AMZN	$248.42	-5.4%	+7.3%	+3.5%	+35	BUY
NVDA	$212.17	-5.7%	+19.7%	+7.5%	+35	BUY
META	$670.24	+13.6%	-12.1%	+7.6%	+35	BUY
QQQ	$704.54	-3.6%	+19.6%	+6.7%	+25	HOLD
MSFT	$497.12	+0.5%	-2.7%	+15.6%	+5	HOLD
TSLA	$356.58	+4.2%	-13.0%	-10.5%	-70	EXIT
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE	$77.07	+29.7%	+41.5%	+38.5%	+60	BUY
BTC	$75,693.72	+17.4%	-35.2%	+7.7%	+15	HOLD
ETH	$2,398.49	+25.4%	-46.7%	+16.2%	+15	HOLD
SOL	$96.84	+27.5%	-59.1%	+16.2%	+15	HOLD
GLDM	$85.00	-1.8%	+16.6%	-5.2%	-30	TRIM
ONDO	$0.33	-2.9%	-68.1%	-0.6%	-35	EXIT
MSTR	$129.60	+39.3%	-60.5%	-5.8%	-65	EXIT
TAO	$217.15	+10.8%	-37.0%	-9.4%	-75	EXIT

Ticker analysis

HYPE watch only

$77.07 · as of 2026-09-16 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$77.07

vs 200-day avg+38.5%

vs 50-day avg+9.7%

RSI 14 / RSI 348 / 33

MACD-1.64 rising

Return 1m+29.7%

Return 3m+8.4%

Return 12m+41.5%

From 52-week high-12.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+5.6%

觀察名單。量化 +60(200 日線上 38.5%,12 個月 +41.5%,MACD 柱 −1.64 微收窄)。$77.07,一個月 +29.7%。訊號係 BUY,但計劃嘅入場區係 $72 附近 / 50 日線 $70.2,而家高 7–10%——按 no-FOMO 規則唔追,等回踩。未持有。 — BUY 訊號但高於計劃入場區;等回踩

GOOGL

$344.98 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -10

Close$344.98

vs 200-day avg+2.5%

vs 50-day avg-0.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 62

MACD+0.93 rising

Return 1m-0.2%

Return 3m-7.5%

Return 12m+37.5%

From 52-week high-14.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

全場最高分 +65,FOMC 覆蓋 −10 = +55。$344.98,200 日線上 2.5%,MACD 柱 +0.93 連續兩日擴大——係全場唯一動能組件正、MACD 亦正嘅名。基金持 3 股 GOOG(約 10.3%),Alphabet 兩個股份類合併計上限 20%。建議:買 1 股 GOOGL ≈ $345(整股,夜盤可成交),執行後 Alphabet 合共約 13.7%、現金約 $774。 — 唯一 MACD 轉正兼擴大嘅 Mag 7;FOMC 前只落一注

AAPL

$331.34 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$331.34

vs 200-day avg+16.2%

vs 50-day avg+4.0%

RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 68

MACD+1.59 falling

Return 1m+8.3%

Return 3m+10.8%

Return 12m+40.5%

From 52-week high-2.5%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%

+60 → 覆蓋後 +50,BUY 級。$331.34,200 日線上 16.2%,RSI14 61,MACD 柱 +1.59 微收窄。但基金持 6 股 = 約 $1,988,佔基金 19.9%,已經頂住 20% 單一股票上限——唔可以再加。持有。 — BUY 級但倉位已到 20% 上限

SPY

$757.39 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

Close$757.39

vs 200-day avg+6.2%

vs 50-day avg-0.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 28

MACD-1.69 falling

Return 1m-2.4%

Return 3m+1.2%

Return 12m+15.9%

From 52-week high-2.6%

Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

+45 → 覆蓋後 +35。$757.39,200 日線上 6.2%,RSI3 28,MACD 柱 −1.69 擴大。基金持 1 股(9 月 14 日 $760.52 入)。1 股 ≈ $757 佔基金 7.6%,FOMC 前現金唔夠分——今日唔加。 — BUY 級,現金優先俾 GOOGL

AMZN

$248.42 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

Close$248.42

vs 200-day avg+3.5%

vs 50-day avg-2.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 341 / 22

MACD-1.30 falling

Return 1m-5.4%

Return 3m+1.0%

Return 12m+7.3%

From 52-week high-12.5%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%

+45 → 覆蓋後 +35。$248.42,200 日線上 3.5%,RSI3 22 已經超賣,但 MACD 柱 −1.30 仲喺擴大(−15)。基金持 4 股(約 10%)。合資格但排 GOOGL 之後:FOMC 後如果仍然合資格,明日 2 股 ≈ $497。今日唔落單,留現金過 FOMC。 — 合資格,但 MACD 未轉、FOMC 前不加第二注

NVDA

$212.17 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

BUY

−100

+100 +35

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

Close$212.17

vs 200-day avg+7.5%

vs 50-day avg-0.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 345 / 22

MACD-1.54 falling

Return 1m-5.7%

Return 3m+2.4%

Return 12m+19.7%

From 52-week high-9.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.2%

+45 → 覆蓋後 +35。$212.17,200 日線上 7.5%,50 日線 $213 頭頂。昨日「回調入場」1 股嘅訊號(RSI3 10)未有執行,今日 RSI3 回到 22,回調組件已經歸零——嗰個觸發失效,唔補追。基金持 7 股(14.9%),普通 BUY 級排喺 GOOGL 之後。 — 昨日回調觸發已失效;普通 BUY 級不加注

QQQ

$704.54 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +25

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

Close$704.54

vs 200-day avg+6.7%

vs 50-day avg-0.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 24

MACD-1.22 falling

Return 1m-3.6%

Return 3m-3.4%

Return 12m+19.6%

From 52-week high-5.5%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%

+35 → 覆蓋後 +25,HOLD。$704.54,50 日線 $710 之下、200 日線上 6.7%,RSI3 24,MACD 柱 −1.22 擴大。基金持 3 股(21%)。持有,唔加唔減。 — 動能弱、MACD 負;持有

BTC watch only

$75,693.72 · as of 2026-09-16 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$75,693.72

vs 200-day avg+7.7%

vs 50-day avg+5.3%

RSI 14 / RSI 348 / 29

MACD-815.42 falling

Return 1m+17.4%

Return 3m+17.5%

Return 12m-35.2%

From 52-week high-39.3%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.8%

觀察名單。量化 +15(200 日線上 7.7%,但 12 個月 −35%、MACD 負)。重點喺收市:9 月 15 日 UTC 收 $75,592,跌穿殺掣線 $76,255——28 日區間失守。按計劃:停買、alt 買單取消、持倉全部揸住、沽單保留做反彈出口;下一條線 UTC 收 < $72,000 啟動贖回。詳見 PULSE 卡。 — 殺掣已觸發;核心持有、停買

ETH watch only

$2,398.49 · as of 2026-09-16 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$2,398.49

vs 200-day avg+16.2%

vs 50-day avg+8.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 24

MACD-26.78 falling

Return 1m+25.4%

Return 3m+37.2%

Return 12m-46.7%

From 52-week high-48.8%

Volatility (ATR14)+4.0%

觀察名單。量化 +15。9 月 15 日 UTC 收 $2,397,跌穿 $2,416 floor(第六次)。核心倉持有;swing 倉唔喺 $2,416–2,470 接返,等 50 日線 $2,217 附近。$2,416 變阻力。 — floor 失守;核心持有、swing 等更低

SOL watch only

$96.84 · as of 2026-09-16 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$96.84

vs 200-day avg+16.2%

vs 50-day avg+8.4%

RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 29

MACD-1.54 falling

Return 1m+27.5%

Return 3m+34.5%

Return 12m-59.1%

From 52-week high-60.9%

Volatility (ATR14)+4.7%

觀察名單。量化 +15。9 月 15 日 UTC 收 $96.83,重返計數歸零、$99.90 支持收穿。殘餘倉持有,接位 $89.50,最後防線 200 日線 $83.32。 — 重返計數歸零;唔郁

MSFT

$497.12 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

HOLD

−100

+100 +5

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -10

Close$497.12

vs 200-day avg+15.6%

vs 50-day avg+8.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 46

MACD-3.10 falling

Return 1m+0.5%

Return 3m+26.5%

Return 12m-2.7%

From 52-week high-7.5%

Volatility (ATR14)+2.2%

+15 → 覆蓋後 +5。$497.12,200 日線上 15.6% 但 12 個月 −2.7%、MACD 柱 −3.10。基金持 1 股。持有。 — 趨勢在、動能無;持有

GLDM watch only

$85.00 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

TRIM

−100

+100 -30

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

Close$85.00

vs 200-day avg-5.2%

vs 50-day avg+0.6%

RSI 14 / RSI 345 / 32

MACD-0.67 rising

Return 1m-1.8%

Return 3m-0.9%

Return 12m+16.6%

From 52-week high-20.4%

Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%

觀察名單。量化 −30。$85.00,200 日線($89.65)下 5.2%,距 52 週高 −20%,MACD 柱 −0.67。無基金持倉;外部黃金持倉:減倉訊號持續,重返 200 日線之上先重估。 — 200 日線下;減倉訊號持續

ONDO watch only

$0.33 · as of 2026-09-16 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -35

regime +0 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$0.33

vs 200-day avg-0.6%

vs 50-day avg-8.8%

RSI 14 / RSI 340 / 22

MACD-0.00 falling

Return 1m-2.9%

Return 3m-10.5%

Return 12m-68.1%

From 52-week high-69.7%

Volatility (ATR14)+6.6%

觀察名單——止蝕觸發。9 月 15 日 UTC 收 $0.3281,跌穿 $0.33 止蝕線(規則:UTC 日收穿 $0.33 全走)。200 日線 $0.3300 同日失守,量化 −35(動量 −20、MACD −15)。外部持倉:按規則離場;重入條件係 UTC 日收企返 $0.33 之上。留意:報告圖表數列四捨五入到 $0.33,真實收市 $0.3281,判斷用精確值。 — UTC 收 $0.3281 穿 $0.33 止蝕線;全走

MSTR watch only

$129.60 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -65

regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$129.60

vs 200-day avg-5.8%

vs 50-day avg+19.7%

RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 38

MACD-0.56 falling

Return 1m+39.3%

Return 3m+5.5%

Return 12m-60.5%

From 52-week high-64.0%

Volatility (ATR14)+6.6%

觀察名單。量化 −65。$129.60,跟 BTC 跌返 200 日線($137.60)下 5.8%——昨日距觸發 0.6% 嗰個「收市企上 200 日線」條件而家遠咗,mNAV 今日唔使重估。無持倉;觸發條件不變:收市企上 200 日線 + mNAV < 1.2。 — 回落 200 日線下;觸發未達

TSLA

$356.58 · as of 2026-09-15 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -70

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -10

Close$356.58

vs 200-day avg-10.5%

vs 50-day avg+1.1%

RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 29

MACD+0.37 falling

Return 1m+4.2%

Return 3m-11.9%

Return 12m-13.0%

From 52-week high-27.2%

Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%

−60 → 覆蓋後 −70。$356.58,200 日線($398.32)下 10.5%,12 個月 −13%,MACD 柱 +0.37 收窄中。無基金持倉;外部持倉:全走訊號不變,反彈出貨。 — 200 日線下;離場訊號持續

TAO watch only

$217.15 · as of 2026-09-16 · tiingo

EXIT

−100

+100 -75

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

Close$217.15

vs 200-day avg-9.4%

vs 50-day avg-0.2%

RSI 14 / RSI 343 / 8

MACD-4.07 falling

Return 1m+10.8%

Return 3m-11.8%

Return 12m-37.0%

From 52-week high-56.3%

Volatility (ATR14)+7.0%

觀察名單——離場指令持續。9 月 15 日 UTC 收 $217.80(−6.3%),200 日線($239.69)下 9.4%,RSI3 8。由 9 月 10 日止蝕日 $235 計已再跌 7.3%。重入條件不變:UTC 日收企返 $239.69 之上,而家距離 10%。 — 六日未收復 200 日線,再跌 6%;離場持續

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

Ticker	Shares	Avg cost	Price	Value	Unrealized P&L	Today's action
AAPL	6	$311.02	$331.34	$1,988.04	$121.90 (+6.5%)	BUY
AMZN	4	$259.71	$248.42	$993.68	$-45.18 (-4.3%)	BUY
GOOG	3	$343.76	$344.98	$1,034.94	$3.66 (+0.4%)	BUY
MSFT	1	$493.69	$497.12	$497.12	$3.43 (+0.7%)	HOLD
NVDA	7	$221.85	$212.17	$1,485.19	$-67.74 (-4.4%)	BUY
QQQ	3	$712.03	$704.54	$2,113.62	$-22.48 (-1.1%)	HOLD
SPY	1	$761.52	$757.39	$757.39	$-4.13 (-0.5%)	BUY

Trade log

Date	Ticker	Side	Qty	Price	Amount	Fee	Realized P&L	Note
2026-08-20	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.80	$712.80	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21	NVDA	BUY	4.0	$217.64	$870.56	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$712.85	$712.85	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.81	$932.43	$1.00	—	STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24	AAPL	BUY	3.0	$310.57	$931.71	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$341.14	$341.14	$1.00	—	user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$344.81	$344.81	$1.00	—	GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25	QQQ	BUY	1.0	$707.45	$707.45	$1.00	—	score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26	GOOG	BUY	1.0	$342.33	$342.33	$1.00	—	GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$259.93	$519.86	$1.00	—	score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27	MSFT	BUY	1.0	$492.69	$492.69	$1.00	—	score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31	NVDA	BUY	1.0	$218.43	$218.43	$1.00	—	score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08	AMZN	BUY	2.0	$258.50	$517.00	$1.00	—	score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08	NVDA	BUY	2.0	$230.47	$460.94	$1.00	—	score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08
2026-09-14	SPY	BUY	1.0	$760.52	$760.52	$1.00	—	score +60, FOMC overlay -10 = +50; 七度押後後執行, 夜盤成交

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-10-07 · 2026-10-06 · 2026-10-03 · 2026-10-02 · 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23 · 2026-09-21 · 2026-09-19 · 2026-09-18 · 2026-09-17 · 2026-09-16