Invest Tools · Daily Brief

Invest Daily Brief

2026-09-11· 15 tickers·data: tiingo
Fund value$9,993-0.1% since 2026-08-20
Cash$1,881ready to deploy
Positions$8,11281% deployed
Unrealized P&L$-7open positions

Macro overlay

八月 CPI 今晚 20:30(香港)出爐——FOMC(9/15-16)前最後一塊拼圖,而且係近年最重要嘅一份:市場預期核心 CPI 月率 +0.2%、年率 2.4%,整體 +0.4%/3.4%;經濟學家講到明,數據一熱,聯儲下週就會做 2023 年以嚟首次加息。昨日 PPI 已經偏熱(月率 +0.4%、商品分項 +1.1%、十二個月 +5.4%),十年債息升破 4.85% 三年高,所以今晚嘅風險明顯傾向上行意外。股票/ETF 買入維持 −15;賣出唔受影響。今日最重要嘅係:市場跌到觸發咗多個「回調入場」訊號——SPY(RSI3 18)、AMZN(RSI3 19)、HYPE(RSI3 17)同時亮起 pullback entry +25,係基金開倉以嚟第一次三個一齊出現。Crypto 方面昨晚兩個判決全部險守:BTC UTC 收 $76,566,高於殺掣線 $311(0.4%);ETH 收 $2,439 守住 $2,416,完成「失守→收復→回試企穩」結構。

Events: 八月 CPI 今晚 20:30 HKT(FOMC 前最後數據) · FOMC 9/15-16(加息 vs 不動,勢均力敵) · 十年債息 4.85% 三年高

Today's orders

1 buy order(s) ≈ $504 · 1 sell order(s) ≈ $333 — candidates, not obligations.

SideTickerQuantityEst. costNote
BUY AMZN 2 股 AMZN $504 整股 overnight 可執行;或掛 $248 限價等回調。CPI 前成交=承受事件風險
SELL GOOGL 賣 1 股 GOOG(持倉 33%) $333 整股——任何時段;賣出訊號唔等 CPI

Scoreboard

TickerPrice1m12m vs 200DScoreAction
Fund universe — US stocks
AAPL $326.57 +7.1% +44.5% +14.9% +60 STRONG BUY
SPY $757.83 -1.7% +17.5% +6.5% +55 BUY
AMZN $251.89 -7.5% +9.4% +5.1% +55 BUY
NVDA $218.36 +0.5% +23.4% +10.9% +30 BUY
META $644.38 +7.6% -14.0% +3.5% +30 BUY
QQQ $708.69 -1.4% +22.6% +7.6% +20 HOLD
MSFT $492.44 -2.1% -0.8% +14.6% +0 HOLD
TSLA $363.56 +9.2% +4.5% -8.9% -30 TRIM
GOOGL $332.60 -3.2% +39.4% -1.1% -45 TRIM
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE $78.88 +40.8% +38.4% +45.1% +70 STRONG BUY
SOL $98.93 +30.9% -56.8% +19.3% +15 HOLD
ETH $2,449.11 +30.4% -45.1% +19.3% +15 HOLD
BTC $76,779.94 +21.1% -33.5% +9.6% +15 HOLD
GLDM $85.51 -1.1% +18.6% -4.6% -35 TRIM
MSTR $128.56 +33.8% -60.6% -7.0% -50 TRIM

Ticker analysis

HYPE watch only

$78.88 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100 +70

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +25 · MACD -15

20.0040.0060.0080.002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$78.88
vs 200-day avg+45.1%
vs 50-day avg+15.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 351 / 17
MACD-1.41 falling
Return 1m+40.8%
Return 3m+33.1%
Return 12m+38.4%
From 52-week high-10.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.6%

觀察名單——你想要嘅回調嚟緊。$78.88,距高位 10.3%,pullback entry 首次啟動(+25,RSI3 17),200 日線上 +45%(由 +60% 大幅收窄)。你嘅 starter 目標區 ~$72 而家只差 8.7%,50 日線 $67.7 差 14%。有貨嘅 trail 不變:~$72 減半、$61.4 硬離場——留意 trail 減半線同你嘅 starter 買入區重疊,即係話跌到嗰度係「有貨減一半、無貨開四分一注」,唔矛盾:兩者都係承認嗰度係關鍵位。 — 回調入場首次亮燈;starter 區 8.7% 之外。

AAPL

$326.57 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -15

2503002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$326.57
vs 200-day avg+14.9%
vs 50-day avg+3.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 359 / 72
MACD+0.78 rising
Return 1m+7.1%
Return 3m+10.6%
Return 12m+44.5%
From 52-week high-3.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

量化 +75(MACD +15、12 個月 +44.5%),全場最強兼逆市創近期新高 $326.57。持倉 6 股約佔基金 19.6%——兩成上限繼續鎖死,加唔到。全個組合喺跌市中嘅壓艙石就係佢。 — 最強訊號但頂住兩成上限。

SPY

$757.83 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +25 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$757.83
vs 200-day avg+6.5%
vs 50-day avg-0.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 18
MACD-1.62 falling
Return 1m-1.7%
Return 3m+3.0%
Return 12m+17.5%
From 52-week high-2.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

基金開倉以嚟最強嘅 SPY 讀數:量化 +70(pullback entry +25、RSI3 只有 18、動量 +20),扣事件後 +55。但今日唔落單,理由係現金:得 $1,881,一股 $758 就用咗 40%,而 CPI 係今晚嘅二元事件。取捨好清楚——CPI 冧市,同一筆錢買平 2-3%;CPI 好市,遲一日買貴 1-2%。用你嘅準則(錯過難受、蝕錢先係真損失),等。明晚 CPI 後第一時間重評,SPY 排第一。 — 訊號最強但一股佔現金四成;CPI 後即重評。

AMZN

$251.89 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +55

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +25 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

2002252502752025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$251.89
vs 200-day avg+5.1%
vs 50-day avg-1.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 344 / 19
MACD-1.43 falling
Return 1m-7.5%
Return 3m+4.3%
Return 12m+9.4%
From 52-week high-11.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%

量化跳上 +70:pullback entry 組件首次啟動(+25,RSI3 得 19)加上動量修復到 +20,趨勢仍喺 200 日線上 5.1%——即係「上升趨勢入面嘅深度回調」,系統設計最鍾意嘅形態。扣 CPI 事件 −15 後 +55 仍屬 BUY。2 股約 $504 = 半成注,加完 6 股佔基金約 15%,遠離兩成上限。注意:今晚 CPI 前成交即係承受事件風險——想穩陣可以掛 GFD 限價 $248 等佢跌到先接。 — 回調入場首次觸發,倉位空間充足,注碼啱啱好。

NVDA

$218.36 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

1502002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$218.36
vs 200-day avg+10.9%
vs 50-day avg+3.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 24
MACD-0.13 falling
Return 1m+0.5%
Return 3m+6.7%
Return 12m+23.4%
From 52-week high-7.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.2%

量化 +45(動量 +20 但 MACD 轉負),回落到 $218.36,持倉 7 股(15.3%,平均 $221.85)輕微浮虧 1.6%。上限剩約 $460 空間,但事件窗 + 今日注碼已配俾 AMZN,唔加。 — 事件窗;今日注碼已配置。

META

$644.38 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$644.38
vs 200-day avg+3.5%
vs 50-day avg+7.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 366 / 76
MACD+9.92 rising
Return 1m+7.6%
Return 3m+13.5%
Return 12m-14.0%
From 52-week high-17.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.3%

量化 +45,回踩後仍守住 200 日線上 3.5%(由 +5.1% 收窄),RSI3 由 95 降到 76——上次講「等回踩」而家真係喺度回緊。但 12 個月動量仍係 −10,呢個反轉未夠老。CPI 後如果仍守 200 日線,先正式考慮開倉。無基金持倉。 — 反轉回踩中但未成熟;CPI 後再評。

QQQ

$708.69 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$708.69
vs 200-day avg+7.6%
vs 50-day avg-0.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 346 / 20
MACD-0.59 falling
Return 1m-1.4%
Return 3m-1.1%
Return 12m+22.6%
From 52-week high-4.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.3%

量化 +35(未觸發 pullback entry,因為未夠深)。持倉 3 股(21.3%)照坐。債息三年高,科技估值受壓最直接。 — 持倉觀望;無加倉條件。

SOL watch only

$98.93 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

1001502026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$98.93
vs 200-day avg+19.3%
vs 50-day avg+14.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 22
MACD-1.36 falling
Return 1m+30.9%
Return 3m+48.1%
Return 12m-56.8%
From 52-week high-60.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.4%

觀察名單。$98.93,重返線 $102 再度失守,離場狀態第九日。下門檻 $89.5(−9.5%)。兩條線之外冇動作——呢隻今個月已經教過兩次:唔好喺線邊賭。 — 離場觀望;兩條線之外唔郁。

ETH watch only

$2,449.11 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2,0003,0002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$2,449.11
vs 200-day avg+19.3%
vs 50-day avg+13.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 359 / 36
MACD-22.52 falling
Return 1m+30.4%
Return 3m+47.0%
Return 12m-45.1%
From 52-week high-48.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.4%

觀察名單——回試企穩,入場結構完成。昨晚 UTC 收 $2,439.30,守住 $2,416(+1.0%):由 9/2 失守、9/8 收復、到今次回試唔穿,「失守→收復→回試企穩」三部曲齊全,係計劃寫明嘅合規入場點。想按目標分佈加 ETH 嘅,呢個係條件成立嘅時刻(止損邏輯不變:日收穿 $2,416 走)。但今晚 CPI 前入場同樣係承受事件風險——想穩陣等 CPI 後再入,結構唔會因為遲一日消失。 — 三部曲完成;入場條件成立,執唔執行睇你對事件風險嘅胃口。

BTC watch only

$76,779.94 · as of 2026-09-11 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60,00080,000100,0002026-012026-022026-042026-062026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$76,779.94
vs 200-day avg+9.6%
vs 50-day avg+8.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 21
MACD-765.76 falling
Return 1m+21.1%
Return 3m+20.9%
Return 12m-33.5%
From 52-week high-38.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%

觀察名單——殺掣險守。昨晚 UTC 收 $76,566,高過殺掣線 $76,255 僅 $311(0.4%):所有掛單保留,alt 倉掛單亦免於取消。呢個係支持帶三星期內第三次成功防守,但每次都貼身咗——留意 50 日線($70.4k)已經升穿咗 200 日線($70.0k)下方嘅距離,兩線正在收窄。而家 $76.8k,RSI3 21 深度超賣。棋盤:$76,600 買單昨日應已成交(請確認),上方沽單 0.05@$82.8k 照掛,殺掣線不變 $76,255。今晚 CPI 就係決定呢條帶第四次受測定係反彈嘅催化劑。 — 殺掣險守 0.4%;支持帶第三度防守成功,CPI 決定下一浪。

MSFT

$492.44 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +0

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

4005002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$492.44
vs 200-day avg+14.6%
vs 50-day avg+9.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 32
MACD-3.94 falling
Return 1m-2.1%
Return 3m+26.4%
Return 12m-0.8%
From 52-week high-8.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.2%

量化 +15,12 個月動量仍負、MACD −3.94 惡化。持倉 1 股基本打和。八月尾撤單嗰個決定,兩星期後睇仍然啱。 — 訊號未修復。

TSLA

$363.56 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -30

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

3004005002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$363.56
vs 200-day avg-8.9%
vs 50-day avg+2.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 48
MACD+2.23 falling
Return 1m+9.2%
Return 3m-8.9%
Return 12m+4.5%
From 52-week high-25.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.0%

維持 −30,200 日線下 8.9%。外部持倉:反彈減倉不變,收復 $400 一帶先改觀。 — 線下結構不變。

GLDM watch only

$85.51 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -35

regime -40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60801002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$85.51
vs 200-day avg-4.6%
vs 50-day avg+1.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 346 / 28
MACD-0.64 falling
Return 1m-1.1%
Return 3m+2.7%
Return 12m+18.6%
From 52-week high-19.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.0%

觀察名單(金)。又轉弱:$85.51,200 日線下 4.6%(由 −2.8% 擴大)。禁買鐵律持續;有趣嘅係 PPI 熱、債息三年高,金反而跌——實質利率上升壓過通脹對沖需求,正好解釋點解「趨勢規則」勝過「宏觀故事」。收市重上 $89.6 一帶先重置。 — 跌勢延續;禁買不變。

GOOGL

$332.60 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -45

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2003004002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$332.60
vs 200-day avg-1.1%
vs 50-day avg-4.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 341 / 33
MACD-0.80 falling
Return 1m-3.2%
Return 3m-7.0%
Return 12m+39.4%
From 52-week high-17.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%

昨日觸發嘅 TRIM 未執行,今日重發:量化 −45,價格仍喺 200 日線下 1.1%($332.60)。規則要求減 25%——持倉 3 股 GOOG,賣 1 股(約 $333)。賣出唔受 CPI 事件窗影響,而且執行後現金回到約 $2,214,啱啱好俾今晚之後嘅機會用。日收重上 $336 一帶訊號自動重置。 — TRIM 訊號未執行;重發,賣出唔等事件。

MSTR watch only

$128.56 · as of 2026-09-10 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -50

regime -40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

1002003002025-092025-112026-022026-042026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$128.56
vs 200-day avg-7.0%
vs 50-day avg+21.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 31
MACD+0.52 falling
Return 1m+33.8%
Return 3m+7.0%
Return 12m-60.6%
From 52-week high-64.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+6.6%

觀察名單。$128.56,回落到 200 日線下 7.0%(上週曾收窄到 4.2%)——觸發警戒解除,離「日收企穩 200 日線 + mNAV < 1.2」嘅雙條件更遠。BTC 跌佢跌多啲(BTC −2% 佢 −3%),再次示範咗嗰個浮動倍數:下行嗰陣佢係 1.5 倍,呢個先係「槓桿 BTC」嘅真實成本。禁買繼續。 — 反彈熄火,回落到線下 7%;警戒解除。

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

TickerSharesAvg costPrice ValueUnrealized P&LToday's action
AAPL 6 $311.02 $326.57 $1,959.42 $93.28 (+5.0%) STRONG BUY
AMZN 4 $259.71 $251.89 $1,007.56 $-31.30 (-3.0%) BUY
GOOG 3 $343.76 $332.60 $997.80 $-33.48 (-3.2%) TRIM
MSFT 1 $493.69 $492.44 $492.44 $-1.25 (-0.3%) HOLD
NVDA 7 $221.85 $218.36 $1,528.52 $-24.41 (-1.6%) BUY
QQQ 3 $712.03 $708.69 $2,126.07 $-10.03 (-0.5%) HOLD

Trade log

DateTickerSideQtyPrice AmountFeeRealized P&LNote
2026-08-20QQQ BUY1.0 $712.80$712.80 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21NVDA BUY4.0 $217.64$870.56 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21QQQ BUY1.0 $712.85$712.85 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22AAPL BUY3.0 $310.81$932.43 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24AAPL BUY3.0 $310.57$931.71 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24GOOG BUY1.0 $341.14$341.14 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25GOOG BUY1.0 $344.81$344.81 $1.00 —GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25QQQ BUY1.0 $707.45$707.45 $1.00 —score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26GOOG BUY1.0 $342.33$342.33 $1.00 —GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26AMZN BUY2.0 $259.93$519.86 $1.00 —score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27MSFT BUY1.0 $492.69$492.69 $1.00 —score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31NVDA BUY1.0 $218.43$218.43 $1.00 —score +45 post-earnings digestion entry
2026-09-08AMZN BUY2.0 $258.50$517.00 $1.00 —score +60 動能修復 2026-09-08
2026-09-08NVDA BUY2.0 $230.47$460.94 $1.00 —score +75 全場最高分 2026-09-08

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-09-30 · 2026-09-26 · 2026-09-25 · 2026-09-24 · 2026-09-23 · 2026-09-21 · 2026-09-19 · 2026-09-18 · 2026-09-17 · 2026-09-16 · 2026-09-15 · 2026-09-14 · 2026-09-12 · 2026-09-11