Invest Tools · Daily Brief

Invest Daily Brief

2026-09-03· 15 tickers·data: tiingo
Fund value$10,079+0.8% since 2026-08-20
Cash$2,861ready to deploy
Positions$7,21872% deployed
Unrealized P&L$79open positions

Macro overlay

週三美股反彈(標普 +0.5%,結束三連跌),但背景唔輕鬆:美伊再度交火推高油價,十年債息升到 4.81%——2023 年 11 月以嚟最高;ADP 私人職位只增 3.8 萬(預期 4.7 萬),勞動市場轉弱同鷹派央行並存。今晚非農(香港週五 20:30)係本週判官:預期 +5.8 萬——數據強,九月加息(機率約一半)坐實;數據弱,滯脹擔憂上場。事件喺兩日窗內,股票/ETF 一律 −15,今日零新單,一切等非農後重評。Crypto 兩個判決已出:BTC 週二 UTC 收 $77,312 企穩支持帶(第一級確認通過);ETH 收 $2,392 跌穿 $2,416——八月突破正式失敗,規則要求離場。MSTR 今日起加入觀察名單。

Events: 非農今晚 20:30 HKT(預期 +5.8 萬) · 十年債息 4.81% 近三年高 · FOMC Sep 16(加息機率約一半)

Today's orders

No orders today — nothing to buy or sell; holds and signals are on the scoreboard below.

Scoreboard

TickerPrice1m12m vs 200DScoreAction
Fund universe — US stocks
AAPL $324.96 +7.2% +42.0% +14.9% +50 BUY
SPY $765.16 +1.0% +20.8% +8.0% +45 BUY
NVDA $224.41 +8.6% +31.6% +14.4% +45 BUY
AMZN $254.98 -10.2% +13.2% +6.7% +30 BUY
QQQ $709.24 +1.3% +26.0% +8.2% +20 HOLD
MSFT $496.82 +2.1% -0.8% +15.7% +0 HOLD
GOOGL $337.12 -9.7% +60.0% +0.6% -20 HOLD
TSLA $357.01 +10.8% +8.4% -10.7% -30 TRIM
META $592.85 +0.4% -19.1% -4.6% -45 TRIM
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE $81.66 +48.4% +78.3% +56.5% +45 BUY
SOL $100.16 +35.9% -52.5% +21.9% +15 HOLD
ETH $2,385.41 +27.7% -46.4% +17.5% +15 HOLD
BTC $77,292.18 +20.7% -30.8% +11.1% +15 HOLD
GLDM $86.89 +8.4% +24.0% -2.9% -45 TRIM
MSTR $123.19 +29.9% -63.9% -11.8% -60 EXIT

Ticker analysis

AAPL

$324.96 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback -10 · MACD +15 · overlay -15

2503002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$324.96
vs 200-day avg+14.9%
vs 50-day avg+3.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 82
MACD+1.75 rising
Return 1m+7.2%
Return 3m+4.8%
Return 12m+42.0%
From 52-week high-4.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%

量化 +65,連日全場最強(MACD +15、12 個月 +42%),扣事件 −15 後 +50。持倉 6 股佔 19.3%——上限鎖死如常。強者恆強,倉滿唔加,等佢繼續做組合嘅壓艙石。 — 最強訊號但觸及兩成上限。

SPY

$765.16 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$765.16
vs 200-day avg+8.0%
vs 50-day avg+1.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 47
MACD-1.40 rising
Return 1m+1.0%
Return 3m+1.7%
Return 12m+20.8%
From 52-week high-1.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

量化 +60(週三反彈修復動能),扣 −15 後 +45。呢個禮拜嘅劇本冇變:非農今晚出,指數入場等聽日攞住數據後嘅收市 bar 先決定——一週延咗三次,每次事後睇都係啱。週六朝重評。 — 非農前夕;明晨重評。

NVDA

$224.41 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0 · overlay -15

1502002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$224.41
vs 200-day avg+14.4%
vs 50-day avg+7.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 357 / 66
MACD-0.00 rising
Return 1m+8.6%
Return 3m+4.6%
Return 12m+31.6%
From 52-week high-4.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.4%

量化 +60(週三 +3.2% 收 $224.41),扣後 +45。週一 $218.43 嗰股已 +2.7%。持倉 5 股佔 11%——同週唔疊注加事件窗,唔加;訊號健康就唔使急。 — 同週已加倉 + 事件窗。

HYPE watch only

$81.66 · as of 2026-09-03 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +45

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

20.0040.0060.0080.002025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$81.66
vs 200-day avg+56.5%
vs 50-day avg+27.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 43
MACD-0.04 falling
Return 1m+48.4%
Return 3m+26.9%
Return 12m+78.3%
From 52-week high-3.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.3%

觀察名單。$81.66,距高位 3.6%,MACD 輕微轉負令分數回落到 +45。Trail 照舊:約 $72 減半、$61.4 硬離場。無動作。 — Trail 值班;無事件。

AMZN

$254.98 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

2002252502752025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$254.98
vs 200-day avg+6.7%
vs 50-day avg+0.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 346 / 31
MACD-1.59 falling
Return 1m-10.2%
Return 3m+2.0%
Return 12m+13.2%
From 52-week high-10.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.7%

量化 +45(動量組件修復到 +20),扣後 +30 啱啱掛喺 BUY 下沿。持倉 2 股 −2.1%。事件窗內唔郁,非農後如果企穩先考慮。 — 邊緣合格;事件窗擱置。

QQQ

$709.24 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$709.24
vs 200-day avg+8.2%
vs 50-day avg-0.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 348 / 34
MACD-1.13 falling
Return 1m+1.3%
Return 3m-4.6%
Return 12m+26.0%
From 52-week high-4.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.4%

量化 +35 扣後 +20。持倉 3 股(21.1%)照坐。債息 4.81% 環境下科技估值受壓,但結構(200 日線上 +8.2%)未破。 — 債息壓力下持倉觀望。

SOL watch only

$100.16 · as of 2026-09-03 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

1001502025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$100.16
vs 200-day avg+21.9%
vs 50-day avg+21.2%
RSI 14 / RSI 363 / 36
MACD-0.18 falling
Return 1m+35.9%
Return 3m+45.6%
Return 12m-52.5%
From 52-week high-59.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+4.8%

觀察名單。$100.16,離場狀態繼續(重返線 $102 未收復)。兩條線:上面 $102 收市重返先跟返規則,下面 $89.5 企穩係獨立接位。中間唔郁。 — 離場觀望;等兩條線其中一條。

ETH watch only

$2,385.41 · as of 2026-09-03 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2,0003,0002025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$2,385.41
vs 200-day avg+17.5%
vs 50-day avg+15.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 27
MACD-16.50 falling
Return 1m+27.7%
Return 3m+34.9%
Return 12m-46.4%
From 52-week high-49.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%

觀察名單——突破正式失敗。週二 UTC 收 $2,392,五次測試後 $2,416 終於收穿:八月嘅突破結構宣告死亡,按規則持倉離場(週一入場嘅人蝕約 3–4% 走)。而家 $2,385。下一個有結構嘅接貨區係 200 日線帶($2,030–2,100,−12%);中途反彈返 $2,416–2,470 係逃生門唔係入場門。規則兩邊都講咗做——五次測試零僥倖,呢個就係收市基準紀律嘅樣。 — floor 五連測後失守;離場執行,反彈係逃生門。

BTC watch only

$77,292.18 · as of 2026-09-03 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60,00080,000100,0002025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$77,292.18
vs 200-day avg+11.1%
vs 50-day avg+13.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 365 / 34
MACD-238.33 falling
Return 1m+20.7%
Return 3m+21.1%
Return 12m-30.8%
From 52-week high-38.0%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.8%

觀察名單——第一級企穩確認。週二 UTC 收 $77,312,企穩 $76,255 支持帶之上:插針掃咗爆倉磁石($76.5 區)、收市收返上嚟,係支持帶「先污染後治理」嘅健康版本。第二級確認要連續 2–3 日收喺帶上兼收復 $78.6k;週日 UTC 週收企穩先算結構性企穩。留意分化:ETH 已跌穿自己個 floor,alt 轉弱通常行先——BTC 如果幾日內跟隊,支持帶會再受壓。上面 $82.2k 突破線劇本不變。 — 第一級企穩通過;第二級睇今明兩日,ETH 分化係警號。

MSFT

$496.82 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +0

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

4005002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$496.82
vs 200-day avg+15.7%
vs 50-day avg+13.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 33
MACD-2.23 falling
Return 1m+2.1%
Return 3m+16.5%
Return 12m-0.8%
From 52-week high-7.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%

量化 +15 未修復(12 個月動量仍負、MACD 負)。持有 1 股 +0.8%。上週撤單決定繼續正確——訊號要自己證明返先有下一步。 — 訊號未修復;持倉觀望。

GOOGL

$337.12 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 -20

regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

2003004002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$337.12
vs 200-day avg+0.6%
vs 50-day avg-3.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 343 / 37
MACD-0.78 falling
Return 1m-9.7%
Return 3m-6.0%
Return 12m+60.0%
From 52-week high-16.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%

量化 −5,價格 $337.12 喺 200 日線上 0.6% 掙扎——連續第三日貼線行。持倉 3 股 GOOG(−2.0%)。規則清晰:日收跌穿 $335 一帶,regime 反轉,TRIM 訊號就會出;守住就繼續俾機會。呢條線係本週基金持倉最要盯嘅一條。 — 200 日線拉鋸第三日;穿線即降級。

TSLA

$357.01 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -30

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

3004005002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$357.01
vs 200-day avg-10.7%
vs 50-day avg-0.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 52
MACD+3.28 falling
Return 1m+10.8%
Return 3m-15.7%
Return 12m+8.4%
From 52-week high-27.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.8%

維持 −30,200 日線下 10.7%。外部持倉:反彈減倉嘅劇本不變。 — 線下結構未變。

META

$592.85 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -45

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +15

6007002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$592.85
vs 200-day avg-4.6%
vs 50-day avg-0.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 355 / 85
MACD+3.86 rising
Return 1m+0.4%
Return 3m-4.8%
Return 12m-19.1%
From 52-week high-23.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.4%

反彈加速(RSI3 85,+2.5% 收 $592.85)但仍喺 200 日線下 4.6%——正正係「反彈=減倉流動性」嘅教科書時刻。外部有貨,呢度就係規則叫你行動嘅位;收市重上 $622 先改觀。 — 強反彈至線下——減倉窗口打開。

GLDM watch only

$86.89 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -45

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60801002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$86.89
vs 200-day avg-2.9%
vs 50-day avg+4.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 36
MACD-0.51 falling
Return 1m+8.4%
Return 3m-1.2%
Return 12m+24.0%
From 52-week high-18.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.9%

觀察名單(金)。輕微反彈到 $86.89 但仍喺 200 日線下 2.9%。禁買持續;反彈近 $89.4(200 日線)係外部持倉嘅減倉參考。 — 線下反彈中;規則不變。

MSTR watch only

$123.19 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
EXIT
−100
+100 -60

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

1002003004002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$123.19
vs 200-day avg-11.8%
vs 50-day avg+21.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 358 / 38
MACD+1.90 falling
Return 1m+29.9%
Return 3m-2.7%
Return 12m-63.9%
From 52-week high-65.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+6.3%

觀察名單(今日起加入)。$123.19,200 日線下 11.8%,距一年高位 −66%,12 個月 −64%——量化 EXIT 級。佢係 BTC 庫存公司(持 84.5 萬 BTC),股價 = BTC × mNAV 溢價;溢價由 2024 嘅 3.4 倍冧到而家約 1.0 倍,「牛市槓桿」引擎(高溢價增發飛輪)熄咗。觸發條件寫死:日收企穩 200 日線(約 $140)先重評,而且要 mNAV 仍低過 1.2 先合格——兩個條件齊,先係「平買槓桿」;而家兩樣都未有。 — 首日入列:EXIT 級,等 200 日線收復 + mNAV 雙重觸發。

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

TickerSharesAvg costPrice ValueUnrealized P&LToday's action
AAPL 6 $311.02 $324.96 $1,949.76 $83.62 (+4.5%) BUY
AMZN 2 $260.43 $254.98 $509.96 $-10.90 (-2.1%) BUY
GOOG 3 $343.76 $337.12 $1,011.36 $-19.92 (-1.9%) HOLD
MSFT 1 $493.69 $496.82 $496.82 $3.13 (+0.6%) HOLD
NVDA 5 $218.20 $224.41 $1,122.05 $31.06 (+2.8%) BUY
QQQ 3 $712.03 $709.24 $2,127.72 $-8.38 (-0.4%) HOLD

Trade log

DateTickerSideQtyPrice AmountFeeRealized P&LNote
2026-08-20QQQ BUY1.0 $712.80$712.80 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21NVDA BUY4.0 $217.64$870.56 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21QQQ BUY1.0 $712.85$712.85 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22AAPL BUY3.0 $310.81$932.43 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24AAPL BUY3.0 $310.57$931.71 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24GOOG BUY1.0 $341.14$341.14 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25GOOG BUY1.0 $344.81$344.81 $1.00 —GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25QQQ BUY1.0 $707.45$707.45 $1.00 —score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26GOOG BUY1.0 $342.33$342.33 $1.00 —GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26AMZN BUY2.0 $259.93$519.86 $1.00 —score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27MSFT BUY1.0 $492.69$492.69 $1.00 —score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31NVDA BUY1.0 $218.43$218.43 $1.00 —score +45 post-earnings digestion entry

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-09-03 · 2026-09-02 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-22 · 2026-08-21 · 2026-08-20