Invest Tools · Daily Brief

Invest Daily Brief

2026-09-02· 14 tickers·data: tiingo
Fund value$10,038+0.4% since 2026-08-20
Cash$2,861ready to deploy
Positions$7,17771% deployed
Unrealized P&L$38open positions

Macro overlay

九月開局全面 risk-off:全球債息急升(Warsh 鷹派餘波)疊加美伊軍事緊張,歐股跌至七月以來低位,美股科技領跌(QQQ −1.3%),crypto 更重(BTC −3%+)。屬宏觀性質,唔係個別公司問題。週五非農(預期 +5.8 萬)已入兩日事件窗,全部股票/ETF 一律 −15。今日決定:零新單,並撤回兩張掛單——MSFT 兩股(訊號一日內由 +60 冧到 +15,12 個月動量組件轉負,尋日檢討時擔心嘅『踩門檻攞分』應驗)同 SPY 一股(弱勢 + 事件窗,非農後重評)。Crypto 判決:SOL 週一 UTC 收 $99.96 跌穿 $102 止蝕——第二次觸發,按規則離場;ETH 以 $1.65 之差守住 $2,416(第四次測試),但今晚收市再受考驗;BTC 迫近 $76.3k 支持。

Events: ADP 週三 · 服務業 ISM 週四 · 非農週五 Sep 4(預期 +5.8 萬)——已入事件窗 · FOMC Sep 16

Today's orders

No orders today — nothing to buy or sell; holds and signals are on the scoreboard below.

Scoreboard

TickerPrice1m12m vs 200DScoreAction
Fund universe — US stocks
AAPL $325.13 +5.3% +40.6% +15.0% +50 BUY
SPY $761.78 +2.0% +19.4% +7.5% +30 BUY
QQQ $707.64 +2.9% +24.7% +8.0% +20 HOLD
NVDA $217.44 +8.3% +25.0% +11.0% +20 HOLD
AMZN $254.92 -6.1% +11.3% +6.8% +20 HOLD
MSFT $501.02 +8.0% -0.3% +16.7% +0 HOLD
GOOGL $335.02 -5.9% +57.8% +0.1% -20 HOLD
TSLA $356.09 +14.4% +6.7% -11.0% -30 TRIM
META $578.54 +3.9% -21.4% -6.9% -45 TRIM
Watch only — external accounts
HYPE $82.05 +52.1% +82.9% +58.0% +60 STRONG BUY
SOL $98.85 +34.5% -52.8% +20.5% +30 HOLD
ETH $2,399.12 +29.1% -44.5% +18.2% +15 HOLD
BTC $77,024.83 +21.4% -30.8% +10.8% +15 HOLD
GLDM $85.59 +6.8% +25.1% -4.3% -45 TRIM

Ticker analysis

HYPE watch only

$82.05 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100 +60

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

20.0040.0060.0080.002025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$82.05
vs 200-day avg+58.0%
vs 50-day avg+28.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 365 / 47
MACD+0.25 falling
Return 1m+52.1%
Return 3m+10.2%
Return 12m+82.9%
From 52-week high-3.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.5%

觀察名單。risk-off 中回落到 $82.05(距高位 3.1%),量化仍 +60。移動止蝕約 $72、硬離場 $61.4——大市咁嘅環境,trail 嘅價值就係唔使估頂,佢自己識走。 — 回落屬正常;trail 機制值班。

AAPL

$325.13 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +50

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback -10 · MACD +15 · overlay -15

2503002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$325.13
vs 200-day avg+15.0%
vs 50-day avg+4.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 84
MACD+1.51 rising
Return 1m+5.3%
Return 3m+3.2%
Return 12m+40.6%
From 52-week high-4.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%

全場唯一逆市上升(+2.6% 收 $325.13),量化 +65,扣事件 −15 後 +50。持倉 6 股佔 19.4%——上限繼續鎖死,無得加。跌市中最強嘅嗰隻升,係組合入面最好嘅消息。 — 逆市強勢但觸及兩成上限。

SPY

$761.78 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
BUY
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$761.78
vs 200-day avg+7.5%
vs 50-day avg+0.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 349 / 20
MACD-1.41 falling
Return 1m+2.0%
Return 3m+0.5%
Return 12m+19.4%
From 52-week high-2.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+0.8%

量化 +45,扣非農事件 −15 後 +30——啱啱掛喺 BUY 下沿。掛咗幾日嗰張一股訂單今日正式撤回:RSI3 得 20 嘅弱勢加上週五非農binary,呢刻入指數等於幫數據抬轎。非農後(週六朝)重評,訊號仲在就重新排隊。 — 撤單:弱勢 + 事件窗;非農後重評。

SOL watch only

$98.85 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +30

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

1001502025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$98.85
vs 200-day avg+20.5%
vs 50-day avg+20.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 361 / 28
MACD+0.07 falling
Return 1m+34.5%
Return 3m+38.2%
Return 12m-52.8%
From 52-week high-60.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+5.0%

觀察名單——止蝕觸發(第二次)。週一 UTC 收 $99.96,跌穿 $102 收市基準止蝕:按 ratchet 規則,追蹤倉喺呢度離場,冇討論空間。上次 whipsaw 之後個規則冇改——當時講明『規則嘅價值在於執行』,今次就係執行。離場後回歸區間規則:支持 $89.5,重返條件係收市重上 $102。而家 $98.85。 — $102 止蝕收市觸發;執行,唔重議。

QQQ

$707.64 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

6007002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$707.64
vs 200-day avg+8.0%
vs 50-day avg-0.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 347 / 25
MACD-0.94 falling
Return 1m+2.9%
Return 3m-5.1%
Return 12m+24.7%
From 52-week high-5.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.4%

量化 +35 扣 −15 後跌出 BUY 區。持倉 3 股(約 21%)照坐——科技係債息升壓嘅重災區,但趨勢結構未破(200 日線上 +8%)。 — 事件窗降級;持倉不動。

NVDA

$217.44 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

1502002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$217.44
vs 200-day avg+11.0%
vs 50-day avg+4.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 46
MACD-0.38 falling
Return 1m+8.3%
Return 3m-2.3%
Return 12m+25.0%
From 52-week high-7.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.4%

量化 +35 扣後 +20。持倉 5 股,平均 $218.20,現價 $217.44 打和邊緣。賽後嘅好消息已入價,而家係跟大市消化債息——無動作。 — 事件窗;倉位打和,坐。

AMZN

$254.92 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +20

regime +40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

2002252502752025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$254.92
vs 200-day avg+6.8%
vs 50-day avg+1.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 346 / 31
MACD-1.45 falling
Return 1m-6.1%
Return 3m-0.6%
Return 12m+11.3%
From 52-week high-10.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.8%

量化 +35 扣後 +20。持倉 2 股 −2.1%。返返去上週嘅弱勢節奏,200 日線上 +6.8% 結構未變。 — 事件窗;無動作。

ETH watch only

$2,399.12 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

2,0003,0002025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$2,399.12
vs 200-day avg+18.2%
vs 50-day avg+16.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 362 / 31
MACD-9.90 falling
Return 1m+29.1%
Return 3m+32.5%
Return 12m-44.5%
From 52-week high-49.1%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.9%

觀察名單——floor 命懸一線。週一 UTC 收 $2,417.65,以 $1.65 之差第四次守住 $2,416;但今日已跌穿線下運行($2,399)。今晚 UTC 收市係第五次亦可能係最後一次測試:收返 $2,416 上 = 結構仍在;收穿 = 突破失敗,持倉按規則離場,下一個接貨區喺 200 日線附近($2,030–2,100)。死區不加倉嘅規則,今日睇返簡直係救命。 — 第四次守住得 $1.65;第五次測試今晚揭盅。

BTC watch only

$77,024.83 · as of 2026-09-02 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +15

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60,00080,000100,0002025-122026-022026-042026-052026-07 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$77,024.83
vs 200-day avg+10.8%
vs 50-day avg+13.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 30
MACD-113.67 falling
Return 1m+21.4%
Return 3m+20.3%
Return 12m-30.8%
From 52-week high-38.2%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.9%

觀察名單。$77.0k,距離 $76.3k 支持位 0.9%——宏觀 risk-off 將個支持帶再次送到眼前。規則照舊:$76.3k 日收企穩係接貨訊號,插穿唔算;跌失呢個帶,下一站 200 日線 $69.5k 附近。同一時間 $82.2k 突破線嘅劇本亦未取消——兩邊劇本都有預案,中間唔郁。 — 支持帶再受壓;企穩先係訊號,插穿唔係。

MSFT

$501.02 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 +0

regime +40 · momentum -10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

4005002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$501.02
vs 200-day avg+16.7%
vs 50-day avg+15.1%
RSI 14 / RSI 364 / 44
MACD-1.56 falling
Return 1m+8.0%
Return 3m+13.7%
Return 12m-0.3%
From 52-week high-6.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.3%

一日之間 +60 冧到量化 +15(扣事件後 0):12 個月動量組件由 +20 反手變 −10(年回報 −0.3%,正正係之前提過嘅『踩住門檻攞分』——門檻另一邊就係咁),MACD 亦轉負。尋掛嗰兩股訂單撤回;持有嗰 1 股(+1.7%)照坐。訊號嘅脆弱性提前一日被人手識破,係人機協作嘅好樣板。 — 撤單:動量組件反轉,訊號一日崩塌。

GOOGL

$335.02 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100 -20

regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15 · overlay -15

2003004002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$335.02
vs 200-day avg+0.1%
vs 50-day avg-4.0%
RSI 14 / RSI 341 / 23
MACD-0.72 falling
Return 1m-5.9%
Return 3m-7.4%
Return 12m+57.8%
From 52-week high-16.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.5%

警戒級變化:量化跌到 −5,價格 $335.02 距離 200 日線只有 +0.1%——regime 組件已歸零。持倉 3 股 GOOG(平均 $343.76,−2.5%)。下一步好關鍵:收市跌穿 200 日線(約 $334.7)regime 會變 −40,分數直落 TRIM 區。目前未穿,持倉不動,但呢條線要日日睇。 — 貼住 200 日線;穿咗就係 TRIM 訊號,盯緊。

TSLA

$356.09 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -30

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0

3004005002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$356.09
vs 200-day avg-11.0%
vs 50-day avg-0.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 353 / 50
MACD+3.73 falling
Return 1m+14.4%
Return 3m-16.0%
Return 12m+6.7%
From 52-week high-27.3%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.9%

反彈斷纜(−3.3% 收 $356.09),維持 −30。外部有貨照舊:線下反彈係減倉機會,呢個星期已經示範咗一次反彈點樣消失。 — 線下反彈失敗;減倉邏輯不變。

META

$578.54 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -45

regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +15

6007002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$578.54
vs 200-day avg-6.9%
vs 50-day avg-2.3%
RSI 14 / RSI 350 / 68
MACD+2.68 rising
Return 1m+3.9%
Return 3m-3.1%
Return 12m-21.4%
From 52-week high-25.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.5%

維持 −45,200 日線下 6.9%。外部持倉:繼續用反彈減。 — 破損趨勢無變化。

GLDM watch only

$85.59 · as of 2026-09-01 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100 -45

regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD -15

60801002025-092025-112026-012026-042026-06 Price50-day avg200-day avg
Close$85.59
vs 200-day avg-4.3%
vs 50-day avg+2.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 346 / 9
MACD-0.39 falling
Return 1m+6.8%
Return 3m-3.6%
Return 12m+25.1%
From 52-week high-19.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.0%

觀察名單(金)。跌勢加速:$85.59,200 日線下 4.3%,RSI3 得 9——跌穿之後無反彈直接落,證明嗰下唔係假突破。線下不買鐵律繼續;呢隻由 +60 到 −45 只用咗五個交易日,係規則點解要快過感覺嘅活教材。 — 跌破後加速;禁買持續。

Portfolio

What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.

TickerSharesAvg costPrice ValueUnrealized P&LToday's action
AAPL 6 $311.02 $325.13 $1,950.78 $84.64 (+4.5%) BUY
AMZN 2 $260.43 $254.92 $509.84 $-11.02 (-2.1%) HOLD
GOOG 3 $343.76 $335.02 $1,005.06 $-26.22 (-2.5%) HOLD
MSFT 1 $493.69 $501.02 $501.02 $7.33 (+1.5%) HOLD
NVDA 5 $218.20 $217.44 $1,087.20 $-3.79 (-0.3%) HOLD
QQQ 3 $712.03 $707.64 $2,122.92 $-13.18 (-0.6%) HOLD

Trade log

DateTickerSideQtyPrice AmountFeeRealized P&LNote
2026-08-20QQQ BUY1.0 $712.80$712.80 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60; user chose 1 whole share over suggested 0.349
2026-08-21NVDA BUY4.0 $217.64$870.56 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60 (quant +75, -15 earnings overlay)
2026-08-21QQQ BUY1.0 $712.85$712.85 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +75, second tranche
2026-08-22AAPL BUY3.0 $310.81$932.43 $1.00 —STRONG BUY +60, primary candidate 2026-08-22
2026-08-24AAPL BUY3.0 $310.57$931.71 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-24GOOG BUY1.0 $341.14$341.14 $1.00 —user fill 2026-08-24
2026-08-25GOOG BUY1.0 $344.81$344.81 $1.00 —GOOGL score +50, class-swap leg
2026-08-25QQQ BUY1.0 $707.45$707.45 $1.00 —score +45 (quant +60, -15 NVDA earnings/PCE event), pullback entry
2026-08-26GOOG BUY1.0 $342.33$342.33 $1.00 —GOOGL +50/-15 event overlay, class-swap leg
2026-08-26AMZN BUY2.0 $259.93$519.86 $1.00 —score +50/-15 event overlay, first position
2026-08-27MSFT BUY1.0 $492.69$492.69 $1.00 —score +30, first-time qualifier post NVDA-beat
2026-08-31NVDA BUY1.0 $218.43$218.43 $1.00 —score +45 post-earnings digestion entry

Total realized P&L: $0.00

Past editions: 2026-09-02 · 2026-09-01 · 2026-08-29 · 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-22 · 2026-08-21 · 2026-08-20