Market regime gate: OPEN — SPY is 9.2% above its 200-day average, so stock buy signals stand at full strength. Data-light week with the S&P 500 at all-time highs. FOMC minutes (Aug 19) revealed how close three dissenters came to pushing for a hike — a mildly hawkish undertone. The key catalysts are next week: Nvidia earnings Aug 26 after the close, and Fed Chair Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote Aug 28. No score adjustment today except NVDA (−10 for earnings binary risk).
Watchlist: NVDA earnings Aug 26 (after close) · Jackson Hole symposium Aug 27–29 · Warsh keynote Aug 28
Strong buy signal — deploy 20% of cash once a budget is allocated. — 9.2% above the 200-day average with positive 12-month momentum; no SPY budget set yet.
QQQ
$716.08 · as of 2026-08-19 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100+60
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$716.08
vs 200-day avg+10.0%
vs 50-day avg+0.4%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 22
MACD+1.66 falling
Return 1m+2.9%
Return 3m+0.5%
Return 12m+26.4%
From 52-week high-3.9%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.7%
Deploy $250 ≈ 0.349 shares at market (~$716). Tier says 20% = $200, bumped to the $250 minimum so the IB $1 commission stays ≈0.4%. — Uptrend intact, 10% above the 200-day average, RSI neutral — not overheated.
AAPL
$316.83 · as of 2026-08-19 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100+60
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$316.83
vs 200-day avg+12.9%
vs 50-day avg+2.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 89
MACD-0.71 rising
Return 1m-2.9%
Return 3m+4.9%
Return 12m+37.9%
From 52-week high-6.8%
Volatility (ATR14)+2.4%
Strong buy signal — allocate a budget to act on it. — 12.9% above the 200-day average, +37.9% over 12 months.
AMZN
$265.84 · as of 2026-08-19 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100+60
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$265.84
vs 200-day avg+11.6%
vs 50-day avg+6.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 356 / 62
MACD-0.88 rising
Return 1m+6.3%
Return 3m+0.3%
Return 12m+16.6%
From 52-week high-6.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.0%
Strong buy signal — allocate a budget to act on it. — 11.6% above the 200-day average with solid momentum.
Moderate buy at most — or wait until after earnings Aug 26. — Quant score +50, adjusted −10: earnings on Aug 26 are a binary event; a miss at a $91B bar would gap the stock.
Moderate buy — deploy 10% of cash once a budget is allocated. — Only 3.8% above the 200-day average after a huge 12-month run (+71.5%); MACD fading keeps it moderate.
GLDM watch only
$89.29 · as of 2026-08-19 · tiingo
HOLD
−100
+100+25
regime +0 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +15
Close$89.29
vs 200-day avg+0.4%
vs 50-day avg+8.5%
RSI 14 / RSI 367 / 77
MACD+0.57 rising
Return 1m+12.6%
Return 3m-0.7%
Return 12m+36.0%
From 52-week high-16.4%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.8%
Signal only — gold held in external account. Closest ticker to a BUY flip: watch for a decisive close above the 200-day average. — +36% over 12m, corrected 16% off the high, now sitting at the 200-day line with MACD turning up.
Stay out — below the 200-day average, buys are blocked. — Recovering (MACD turning up) but still 13.2% below the 200-day average. Watch for a regime flip.
Signal only — BTC held in external account. If adding there: wait for the overbought reading to cool or 12-month momentum to turn positive. — Sitting right at the 200-day average with RSI 74 (overbought) and 12-month return still −39%.
Stay out — no position, and buys are blocked below the 200-day average. — 12.5% below the 200-day average, −27.1% over 12 months, MACD still falling. Broken trend.
Portfolio
What you currently hold, plus cash reserved per ticker
("ticker cash" is allocated but not yet invested). The last column echoes today's suggested
action — details in the ticker card.