Nvidia's post-earnings session delivered: +8.7% to $228, dragging the whole complex up (SPY, MSFT and NVDA all hit +60 on quant). But Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote lands TODAY around 10:00am ET, with markets pricing roughly one-in-three odds of a September HIKE and a BofA survey showing a neutral speech already priced in - the asymmetric surprise is hawkish. Every fund-universe stock/ETF takes -15, and today's orders list is deliberately EMPTY: each candidate is either capped (AAPL), hot off an +8.7% surge (NVDA, RSI3 80), stretched (MSFT RSI3 94), or an index entry hours before a rates binary (SPY, QQQ). Monday's post-keynote tape gets the queue: SPY first if still qualified. Crypto meanwhile ratcheted: SOL's Wednesday UTC close at $109.13 blew through the Jan-2024 high, ETH holds its floor, BTC is 1.4% below the staged second trim at $81.9k, and HYPE printed another ATH.
Events: Warsh Jackson Hole keynote TODAY ~10:00 ET (22:00 HKT) · US July jobs revisions next week · no fund-universe earnings until Sep
Today's orders
No orders today — nothing to buy or sell; holds and signals are on the scoreboard below.
Quant +75 for a second day (MACD momentum building), -15 keynote overlay = +60. Still capped: 6 shares (~$1,887, 18.7% of fund) leave under $250 of room. No add. The strongest signal on the board remains fully allocated - the cap is doing its job in both directions. — Signal at highs, position at cap; nothing to execute.
GLDM watch only
$91.17 · as of 2026-08-27 · tiingo
STRONG BUY
−100
+100+60
regime +40 · momentum +20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$91.17
vs 200-day avg+2.1%
vs 50-day avg+9.6%
RSI 14 / RSI 367 / 56
MACD+0.46 falling
Return 1m+14.4%
Return 3m+2.5%
Return 12m+35.6%
From 52-week high-14.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+1.7%
Watch-only. +60 with the stretch reset done (RSI3 56) - structurally yesterday's advice stands: quiet-day adds beat chases. One flag: tonight's keynote is gold's event too - hawkish pressures gold, dovish lifts it. An external add placed before 22:00 HKT is a coin-flip on Warsh's tone; after the speech the trend signal reprices cleanly. — Trend strong, stretch reset; the keynote is the only reason to wait hours.
Quant reached +60 (STRONG BUY territory) as MACD repaired - the strongest SPY reading since the fund started, 0.9% off the all-time high. The -15 keynote overlay and the calendar answer the timing: Warsh speaks in hours, and an index entry is the purest bet on his tone. SPY has waited four days; it waits one more session. Monday, post-keynote, it is FIRST in the queue at whatever the tape says. — Quant STRONG BUY, but the keynote is tonight; Monday first in queue.
The beat paid: +8.7% to $228, quant +60. Honest ledger: yesterday's rule said 1 share at $218 (halved for the 1.9-sigma gap) and the user chose to wait - that share is +4.6% away now; the discipline cost this time, and gets recorded like the times it saves. Today is NOT the correction trade: buying after an +8.7% surge, RSI3 at 80, hours before a Fed binary, stacks three reasons to wait. Re-assessed Monday; the fund's 4 shares (+4.6% on the week) ride. — Post-surge + keynote; the entry window was yesterday, the next one needs a digestion day.
Quant +60 - momentum component flipped fully positive one day after the fund's first entry (in at $492.69, now $505.06, +2.5%). RSI3 at 94 says the last three sessions ran vertical; adding into that plus tonight's keynote fails the same test as NVDA. Position rides; next add considered on a cooler tape. — Fresh position +2.5%; too hot to pyramid on event eve.
Watch-only. Another ATH at $84.17 (quant +40 with the extension penalty back on). The trail ratchets again: halve-line moves up to ~$71.5 (-15% from $84.17), hard exit $61.4 unchanged. ATHs move the stop, not the entry - the plan has now ratcheted three times without a single discretionary decision, which is the point. — New ATH; trail ratchets to ~71.5; no entries this extended.
Watch-only - BREAKOUT CONFIRMED AND RATCHETED. Wednesday's UTC close at $109.13 didn't just clear the Jan-2024 high ($102.06), it left it 7% behind. Per the standing plan the stop ratchets from $97.4 up to $102 close-basis (the broken level), locking the re-entry tranche's gain. Next historical reference: $117.1 (Feb-2024 high, +7.5%). RSI3 at 91 - the same rule as every leg: no adds into verticality, let the ratchet trail the move. — Close 109 confirmed the break; stop 97.4 -> 102; next ref 117.1.
Quant slipped to +35 (MACD negative, RSI3 25 - Alphabet is digesting while the AI complex runs). With the keynote overlay it sits at HOLD. The fund's 3 GOOG shares (avg $343.76, -0.9%) need nothing; the accumulation earlier this week stands on its own timeline. — Digestion phase; position built, patience now.
Quant +35, RSI3 at 20 - the softest tape in the fund universe this week (position -1.6% from $260.43 avg). Nothing actionable: the 5% allocation is set, the floor for concern is a 200-day break far below ($238). — Soft but structurally fine; no action either way.
Watch-only. $2,522, drifting up in the confirmed range. Unchanged: floor $2,416 close-basis, target/trim $2,619 (+3.8%) - close enough now that staging the trim order matters more than watching the floor. Lagging SOL badly on the week, which is information about relative strength, not a trade. — Grinding toward the 2,619 trim; stage it.
Watch-only - the second tranche is back in play. $80.7k, +2.4% off the shelf, and the staged $81.9k trim order is only +1.4% away with RSI3 at 91. Exactly like Monday: execution time approaches, not decision time - the order is staged, strength fills it. A daily close above $82.2k (May high) still cancels-and-ratchets instead. Keynote note: BTC trades through Warsh's speech 24/7; a hawkish surprise is the scenario where the shelf at $78.6k gets retested instead. — 1.4% below the staged second trim; let it fill or let the close ratchet.
TSLA
$354.81 · as of 2026-08-27 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100-30
regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$354.81
vs 200-day avg-11.6%
vs 50-day avg-1.8%
RSI 14 / RSI 354 / 64
MACD+4.22 falling
Return 1m+15.4%
Return 3m-19.7%
Return 12m+1.5%
From 52-week high-27.6%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.7%
Bounced back to -30 from -60 (bounce mechanics, momentum penalty eased). Still 11.6% below the 200-day: externally, the bounce toward $360-370 is trim liquidity - sell 25% into it. The EXIT print two days ago was the deeper warning; improved score does not reopen buys below the 200D. — Bounce within a broken trend; sell strength, never buy it.
Unchanged -45: 8.2% below the 200-day, every horizon negative, MACD bounce continuing. Externally the playbook stays: 25% trims into strength, constructive only on a close above the 200-day ($622). — Broken trend, live bounce; trim the bounce.
Portfolio
What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.