The heaviest event night of the month lands today: July core PCE prints Wednesday morning US time (exp 0.2% MoM / 3.3% YoY) together with the Q2 GDP revision, and Nvidia reports after the close (~4:20pm ET) with Wall Street at ~$92B revenue and a four-quarter streak of post-earnings declines despite beats. Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote follows Friday. Every fund-universe stock/ETF takes a -15 overlay today - entries made in the overnight session execute BEFORE both events, so they carry the full binary risk. Crypto plans resolved on Tuesday's closes: SOL's ratcheted stop TRIGGERED (closed 96.59, below 97.4); ETH slipped back under its 2,470 confirmation but holds the 2,416 floor; BTC sits exactly on 78.5k support after the 81.2k trim aged well.
Events: July core PCE + Q2 GDP revision Wed Aug 26 · NVDA earnings Wed Aug 26 after close · Warsh Jackson Hole keynote Fri Aug 28
Today's orders
2 buy order(s) ≈ $869 — candidates, not obligations.
Watch-only. Still the strongest trend on the board (+3.5% vs 200D, 12m +39%) though the MACD kicker rolled off (+75 -> +60). RSI3 91: same advice as all week - external gold adds want a quiet pullback day, not a green candle. Note PCE tonight cuts both ways for gold; the trend signal is unaffected. — Strongest chart; short-term stretched; entry wants patience.
Quant +60 for the third day; -15 event overlay makes +45. Academic either way: 6 shares (~$1,859, 18.6% of fund) leave ~$135 under the 20% cap, below the $250 minimum order. No add. External holders: the trend signal stays strong. — At the 20% single-stock cap; room under the $250 minimum.
Watch-only. Quant +40 (pullback penalty re-engaged near the ATH). Unchanged standing plan governs: defend gains with the trail - halve at ~$69.5 (-15% from the $81.7 high), $61.4 hard exit. At +61% above the 200D this is risk-management territory, not entry territory. — Parabolic extension; the risk plan governs, not the score.
Quant +50 (steady: +4.1% vs 200D, 12m +67%, RSI14 49), -15 for tonight's stacked PCE + NVDA event risk - an overnight-session fill executes before both. Final +35 keeps the BUY: Alphabet is the fund's most under-sized quality position (2 GOOG shares, ~7% of the one-Alphabet cap's 20%). If you'd rather not carry event risk, tomorrow's post-print entry loses only a day. — Best score without its own event; cap room ample; event risk priced with -15.
Quant +50, -15 event overlay like the rest of the complex. First entry for the fund (no position): 2 whole shares ~$522 = the 5% tranche almost exactly. Same caveat as GOOGL - an overnight fill front-runs tonight's PCE and NVDA print; waiting for Thursday costs a day and removes the binary. — Also +50 quant; first position, tranche fits 2 whole shares cleanly.
Quant +45, -15 for tonight's PCE/NVDA (index-level macro risk is exactly what PCE moves). Still a BUY at +30 but last in today's queue - daily pacing went to GOOGL/AMZN. One share ($766) is 1.5x the 5% tranche; if adding tomorrow, the fractional 0.65-share GFD-limit route sizes it properly (regular session only). — Also qualified; deferred on pacing and event stacking.
Quant +35, -15 because its largest holding reports tonight and PCE lands the same day: final +20 = HOLD. The fund's 3 shares (~21% of fund; ETF cap 40%) ride through the print. Monday's pullback buy at $707.45 is +0.5%; nothing to do tonight. — NVDA print + PCE tonight; existing position rides, no add.
Quant +35 after Tuesday's +2.2% bounce, -15 for its own earnings TONIGHT (~4:20pm ET). Street: ~$92B revenue, +97% YoY - and four straight post-earnings declines despite beats, so a beat is not safety. The fund's 4 shares (~8.5%) ride; no new money before the print, re-scored on Thursday's close. — Earnings tonight; hard no-add rule inside the event window.
Quant crossed to +30 (3m +18.4% repairing the trend; 12m still negative) but the -15 event overlay holds it at +15. If the +30 survives Thursday's post-print tape, it becomes a fresh BUY candidate - the first time MSFT has qualified since the fund started. — Newly qualified on quant; event overlay defers it a day.
Watch-only - STOP TRIGGERED. Tuesday closed $96.59, below the $97.4 ratcheted stop (daily-close basis): per the standing plan the breakout failed and the managed tranche exits here (~$97 zone). What remains reverts to range rules - support $89.5, range top $96-97 resistance again, 200-day $81.3 the regime line. No re-entry until either a daily close back above $97.4 or a tested hold of $89.5. Whipsaws happen; the ratchet still banked the Monday breakout's gains versus the original $96-97 trim plan. — Ratcheted stop hit on Tuesday's close; discipline says execute, not renegotiate.
Watch-only - warning line. Tuesday closed $2,443, back under the $2,470 confirmation after Monday confirmed it; the floor at $2,416 (-1.5%) is now the only thing between the breakout thesis and a failed-breakout exit for anyone who entered Monday. A daily close below $2,416 = out; holding above it keeps the $2,619 target alive. No adds in the dead zone between 2,416 and 2,470. — Back inside the confirmation band; 2,416 close-basis line decides.
Watch-only. Closed Tuesday at $78,526 - a few dollars under the $78.6k shelf, effectively AT support with $76.3k behind it. The $81.2k first-tranche trim now sits +3% in the money; the unfilled $81.9k second tranche stays staged. Regime line $69.1k. Between levels: nothing to do. — Sitting on support; trim plan half-executed and aging well.
TSLA
$350.25 · as of 2026-08-25 · tiingo
TRIM
−100
+100-30
regime -40 · momentum +10 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$350.25
vs 200-day avg-12.9%
vs 50-day avg-3.7%
RSI 14 / RSI 352 / 52
MACD+5.13 falling
Return 1m+11.9%
Return 3m-19.2%
Return 12m+1.1%
From 52-week high-28.5%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.9%
Score -30: 12.9% below the 200-day, 3m -19%. No fund position; externally this stays a trim signal - sell 25% into bounces. No buys below the 200D, full stop. — Below the 200D; trim tier.
META
$570.05 · as of 2026-08-25 · tiingo
EXIT
−100
+100-60
regime -40 · momentum -20 · pullback +0 · MACD +0
Close$570.05
vs 200-day avg-8.5%
vs 50-day avg-3.9%
RSI 14 / RSI 346 / 77
MACD-1.45 rising
Return 1m-4.2%
Return 3m-6.8%
Return 12m-24.1%
From 52-week high-26.7%
Volatility (ATR14)+3.4%
Score -60. Tuesday's +2% bounce toward the 200-day ($623) is exactly the exit liquidity the signal wants used: externally, finish reducing into strength. Negative on every horizon; no fund position. — Broken trend; bounces are exits.
Portfolio
What you currently hold. The whole fund is one cash pool. The last column echoes today's suggested action.